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BGR Bulgaria First League · Kamp ·

Ludogorets Razgrad vs Slavia Sofia

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hjemme form
Projected score2–12.24 expected goals
Borte form
Hjemmeseier56%
Uavgjort28%
Borteseier16%
Full model forecastHjemmeseierTier A · 56% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHjemmeseier56% selection probability
Projected score2–1Ludogorets RazgradSlavia Sofia
Expected goals2.24Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Under61% for the selected side
Begge lag scorerNei66% for the selected side
Expected corners9.7Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValgSannsynlighetRettferdig odds
56% / 28% / 16%KampresultatHjemmeseier56%1.79
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Slavia Sofia win (16.4%)Dobbel sjanse1X83.6%1.20
Over 39% · Under 61%Goals 2.5Under61%1.64
Ja 34% · Nei 66%Begge lag scorerNei66%1.52
2.24 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat2–1
9.7 expected match cornersHjørnesparkUnder 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nei snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityRettferdig odds
Ludogorets Razgrad win56%1.79
Uavgjort28%3.57
Slavia Sofia win16%6.25

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Ludogorets Razgrad1.71

Hjemme share of expected goals 76.3%

Total expected goals2.24Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Over 39% · Under 61%

Slavia Sofia0.53

Borte share of expected goals 23.7%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 34% · Nei 66%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hjemme-context · form sequence

Ludogorets Razgrad

3.00pts / match
Spilt5Wins5Drawn0Losses0Poeng15

SignalHjemme unbeaten 5/5

Borte-context · form sequence

Slavia Sofia

1.60pts / match
Spilt5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Poeng8

SignalHjemme clean sheets: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
56%
Vunnet probability excluding draw
16%
15
Points from supplied form
8
1.71
Expected goals
0.53
Ludogorets RazgradSlavia Sofia
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Ludogorets Razgrad signalHjemme unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Slavia Sofia signalHjemme clean sheets: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk44% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Uavgjort probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

Ludogorets Razgrad vs Slavia Sofia FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hjemmeseier · Projected score 2–1 · 56% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Ludogorets Razgrad vunnet 56%,Uavgjort 28%,Slavia Sofia vunnet 16%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.24 · Over 2.5 39% · Current selection Under