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BGR Bulgarien - 1. liga · Kamp ·

Ludogorets Razgrad vs Slavia Sofia

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hjemme form
Projected score2–12.24 expected goals
Ude form
Hjemmesejr56%
Uafgjort28%
Udesejr16%
Full model forecastHjemmesejrTier A · 56% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHjemmesejr56% selection probability
Projected score2–1Ludogorets RazgradSlavia Sofia
Expected goals2.24Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Under61% for the selected side
Begge hold scorerNej66% for the selected side
Expected corners9.7Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValgSandsynlighedFair odds
56% / 28% / 16%KampresultatHjemmesejr56%1.79
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Slavia Sofia win (16.4%)Dobbeltchance1X83.6%1.20
Over 39% · Under 61%Goals 2.5Under61%1.64
Ja 34% · Nej 66%Begge hold scorerNej66%1.52
2.24 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat2–1
9.7 expected match cornersHjørnesparkUnder 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nej snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFair odds
Ludogorets Razgrad win56%1.79
Uafgjort28%3.57
Slavia Sofia win16%6.25

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Ludogorets Razgrad1.71

Hjemme share of expected goals 76.3%

Total expected goals2.24Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Over 39% · Under 61%

Slavia Sofia0.53

Ude share of expected goals 23.7%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 34% · Nej 66%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hjemme-context · form sequence

Ludogorets Razgrad

3.00pts / match
Spillet5Wins5Drawn0Losses0Point15

SignalHjemme unbeaten 5/5

Ude-context · form sequence

Slavia Sofia

1.60pts / match
Spillet5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Point8

SignalHjemme clean sheets: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
56%
Vundet probability excluding draw
16%
15
Points from supplied form
8
1.71
Expected goals
0.53
Ludogorets RazgradSlavia Sofia
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Ludogorets Razgrad signalHjemme unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Slavia Sofia signalHjemme clean sheets: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk44% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Uafgjort probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

Ludogorets Razgrad vs Slavia Sofia FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hjemmesejr · Projected score 2–1 · 56% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Ludogorets Razgrad vundet 56%,Uafgjort 28%,Slavia Sofia vundet 16%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.24 · Over 2.5 39% · Current selection Under