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BGR България - Първа Лига · Мач ·

Лудогорец vs Славия София

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Домакин form
Projected score2–12.24 expected goals
Гост form
Победа за домакина56%
Равен28%
Победа за госта16%
Full model forecastПобеда за домакинаTier A · 56% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда за домакина56% selection probability
Projected score2–1ЛудогорецСлавия София
Expected goals2.24Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Под61% for the selected side
И двата отбора да отбележатНе66% for the selected side
Expected corners9.7Под 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketИзборВероятностСправедлив коефициент
56% / 28% / 16%Резултат от мачаПобеда за домакина56%1.79
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Славия София win (16.4%)Двоен шанс1X83.6%1.20
Над 39% · Под 61%Goals 2.5Под61%1.64
Да 34% · Не 66%И двата отбора да отбележатНе66%1.52
2.24 total expected goalsТочен резултат2–1
9.7 expected match cornersКорнериПод 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Не snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityСправедлив коефициент
Лудогорец win56%1.79
Равен28%3.57
Славия София win16%6.25

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Лудогорец1.71

Домакин share of expected goals 76.3%

Total expected goals2.24Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Над 39% · Под 61%

Славия София0.53

Гост share of expected goals 23.7%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitДа 34% · Не 66%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Домакин-context · form sequence

Лудогорец

3.00pts / match
Изиграни5Wins5Drawn0Losses0Точки15

SignalДомакин unbeaten 5/5

Гост-context · form sequence

Славия София

1.60pts / match
Изиграни5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Точки8

SignalДомакин clean sheets: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
56%
Печеливш probability excluding draw
16%
15
Points from supplied form
8
1.71
Expected goals
0.53
ЛудогорецСлавия София
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Лудогорец signalДомакин unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Славия София signalДомакин clean sheets: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk44% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Равен probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

Лудогорец vs Славия София FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа за домакина · Projected score 2–1 · 56% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Лудогорец печеливш 56%,Равен 28%,Славия София печеливш 16%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.24 · Над 2.5 39% · Current selection Под