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BGR ブルガリア ファーストリーグ · 試合 ·

PFCルドゴレツ・ラズグラド vs スラヴィアソフィア

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

ホーム form
Projected score2–12.24 expected goals
アウェイ form
ホーム勝利56%
引き分け28%
アウェイ勝利16%
Full model forecastホーム勝利Tier A · 56% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callホーム勝利56% selection probability
Projected score2–1PFCルドゴレツ・ラズグラドスラヴィアソフィア
Expected goals2.24Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5アンダー61% for the selected side
両チーム得点いいえ66% for the selected side
Expected corners9.7アンダー 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market選択確率フェアオッズ
56% / 28% / 16%試合結果ホーム勝利56%1.79
Derived from 1X2 · excludes スラヴィアソフィア win (16.4%)ダブルチャンス1X83.6%1.20
オーバー 39% · アンダー 61%Goals 2.5アンダー61%1.64
はい 34% · いいえ 66%両チーム得点いいえ66%1.52
2.24 total expected goals正確なスコア2–1
9.7 expected match cornersコーナーアンダー 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

いいえ snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityフェアオッズ
PFCルドゴレツ・ラズグラド win56%1.79
引き分け28%3.57
スラヴィアソフィア win16%6.25

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

PFCルドゴレツ・ラズグラド1.71

ホーム share of expected goals 76.3%

Total expected goals2.24Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: オーバー 39% · アンダー 61%

スラヴィアソフィア0.53

アウェイ share of expected goals 23.7%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitはい 34% · いいえ 66%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

ホーム-context · form sequence

PFCルドゴレツ・ラズグラド

3.00pts / match
試合数5Wins5Drawn0Losses0ポイント15

Signalホーム unbeaten 5/5

アウェイ-context · form sequence

スラヴィアソフィア

1.60pts / match
試合数5Wins2Drawn2Losses1ポイント8

Signalホーム clean sheets: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
56%
勝ち probability excluding draw
16%
15
Points from supplied form
8
1.71
Expected goals
0.53
PFCルドゴレツ・ラズグラドスラヴィアソフィア
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01PFCルドゴレツ・ラズグラド signalホーム unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02スラヴィアソフィア signalホーム clean sheets: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk44% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 引き分け probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

PFCルドゴレツ・ラズグラド vs スラヴィアソフィア FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: ホーム勝利 · Projected score 2–1 · 56% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

PFCルドゴレツ・ラズグラド 勝ち 56%,引き分け 28%,スラヴィアソフィア 勝ち 16%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.24 · オーバー 2.5 39% · Current selection アンダー