MatchFormula Намери мач
Menu
UTC+8
Часова зонаAsia/Shanghai
Български
BGR България - Първа Лига · Final ·

Черно Море vs Дунав Русе

Prediction review

Домакин form
Final score3–1Прогноза 1–1
Гост form
Победа за домакина57%
Равен25%
Победа за госта18%
Full model forecastПобеда за домакинаTier A · 57% selection probability
Prediction Познат
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда за домакина57% selection probability
Projected score1–1Черно МореДунав Русе
Expected goals2.44Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Под56% for the selected side
И двата отбора да отбележатНе50% for the selected side
Expected corners8.7Под 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketИзборВероятностСправедлив коефициент
57% / 25% / 18%Резултат от мачаПобеда за домакина57%1.75
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Дунав Русе win (18.1%)Двоен шанс1X81.9%1.22
Над 44% · Под 56%Goals 2.5Под56%1.79
Да 50% · Не 50%И двата отбора да отбележатНе50%2.00
2.44 total expected goalsТочен резултат1–1
8.7 expected match cornersКорнериПод 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin6.2%Largest probability gapЧерно Море winDifference-1.1 pp
OutcomeПрогнозаСправедлив коефициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Черно Море win57%1.751.6258.1%-1.1 pp
Равен25%4.003.8024.8%+0.2 pp
Дунав Русе win18%5.565.5017.1%+0.9 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Черно Море1.31

Домакин share of expected goals 53.7%

Total expected goals2.44Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Над 44% · Под 56%

Дунав Русе1.13

Гост share of expected goals 46.3%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitДа 50% · Не 50%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Домакин-context · form sequence

Черно Море

0.20pts / match
Изиграни5Wins0Drawn1Losses4Точки1

SignalДомакин matches over 2.5: 3/5

Гост-context · form sequence

Дунав Русе

0.60pts / match
Изиграни5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Точки3

SignalДомакин failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
57%
Печеливш probability excluding draw
18%
1
Points from supplied form
3
1.31
Expected goals
1.13
Черно МореДунав Русе
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Черно Море signalДомакин matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Дунав Русе signalДомакин failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk43% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Равен probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

Черно Море vs Дунав Русе FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа за домакина · Projected score 1–1 · 57% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Черно Море печеливш 57%,Равен 25%,Дунав Русе печеливш 18%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.44 · Над 2.5 44% · Current selection Под