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BGR 保加利亞甲級聯賽 · Final ·

切爾諾摩爾瓦爾納 vs 杜拿夫魯塞

Prediction review

主隊 form
Final score3–1預測 1–1
客隊 form
主勝57%
25%
客勝18%
Full model forecast主勝Tier A · 57% selection probability
Prediction 命中
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary call主勝57% selection probability
Projected score1–1切爾諾摩爾瓦爾納杜拿夫魯塞
Expected goals2.44Balanced match profile
Goals 2.556% for the selected side
雙方進球50% for the selected side
Expected corners8.7小 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market投注機率公平賠率
57% / 25% / 18%比賽結果主勝57%1.75
Derived from 1X2 · excludes 杜拿夫魯塞 win (18.1%)雙重機會1X81.9%1.22
大 44% · 小 56%Goals 2.556%1.79
是 50% · 否 50%雙方進球50%2.00
2.44 total expected goals正確比分1–1
8.7 expected match corners角球小 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin6.2%Largest probability gap切爾諾摩爾瓦爾納 winDifference-1.1 pp
Outcome預測公平賠率Reference oddsNormalized marketDifference
切爾諾摩爾瓦爾納 win57%1.751.6258.1%-1.1 pp
25%4.003.8024.8%+0.2 pp
杜拿夫魯塞 win18%5.565.5017.1%+0.9 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

切爾諾摩爾瓦爾納1.31

主隊 share of expected goals 53.7%

Total expected goals2.44Balanced

Dedicated goals model: 44% · 56%

杜拿夫魯塞1.13

客隊 share of expected goals 46.3%

Projected score1–1BTTS split 50% · 50%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

主隊-context · form sequence

切爾諾摩爾瓦爾納

0.20pts / match
5Wins0Drawn1Losses4積分1

Signal主隊 matches over 2.5: 3/5

客隊-context · form sequence

杜拿夫魯塞

0.60pts / match
5Wins1Drawn0Losses4積分3

Signal主隊 failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
57%
贏 probability excluding draw
18%
1
Points from supplied form
3
1.31
Expected goals
1.13
切爾諾摩爾瓦爾納杜拿夫魯塞
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01切爾諾摩爾瓦爾納 signal主隊 matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02杜拿夫魯塞 signal主隊 failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk43% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 平 probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

切爾諾摩爾瓦爾納 vs 杜拿夫魯塞 FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: 主勝 · Projected score 1–1 · 57% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

切爾諾摩爾瓦爾納 57%, 25%,杜拿夫魯塞 18%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.44 · 大2.5 44% · Current selection