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BGR Bulgaria First League · Final ·

Cherno More Varna vs Dunav Ruse

Prediction review

Ev Sahibi form
Final score3–1Tahmin 1–1
Deplasman form
Ev sahibi kazanır57%
Beraberlik25%
Deplasman kazanır18%
Full model forecastEv sahibi kazanırTier A · 57% selection probability
Prediction Kazandı
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callEv sahibi kazanır57% selection probability
Projected score1–1Cherno More VarnaDunav Ruse
Expected goals2.44Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Alt56% for the selected side
Karşılıklı gol varHayır50% for the selected side
Expected corners8.7Alt 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSeçimOlasılıkAdil oran
57% / 25% / 18%Maç sonucuEv sahibi kazanır57%1.75
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Dunav Ruse win (18.1%)Çifte Şans1X81.9%1.22
Üst 44% · Alt 56%Goals 2.5Alt56%1.79
Evet 50% · Hayır 50%Karşılıklı gol varHayır50%2.00
2.44 total expected goalsDoğru skor1–1
8.7 expected match cornersKornerlerAlt 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin6.2%Largest probability gapCherno More Varna winDifference-1.1 pp
OutcomeTahminAdil oranReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Cherno More Varna win57%1.751.6258.1%-1.1 pp
Beraberlik25%4.003.8024.8%+0.2 pp
Dunav Ruse win18%5.565.5017.1%+0.9 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Cherno More Varna1.31

Ev Sahibi share of expected goals 53.7%

Total expected goals2.44Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Üst 44% · Alt 56%

Dunav Ruse1.13

Deplasman share of expected goals 46.3%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitEvet 50% · Hayır 50%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Ev Sahibi-context · form sequence

Cherno More Varna

0.20pts / match
Oynanan5Wins0Drawn1Losses4Puan1

SignalEv Sahibi matches over 2.5: 3/5

Deplasman-context · form sequence

Dunav Ruse

0.60pts / match
Oynanan5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Puan3

SignalEv Sahibi failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
57%
Kazanç probability excluding draw
18%
1
Points from supplied form
3
1.31
Expected goals
1.13
Cherno More VarnaDunav Ruse
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Cherno More Varna signalEv Sahibi matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Dunav Ruse signalEv Sahibi failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk43% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Beraberlik probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

Cherno More Varna vs Dunav Ruse FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Ev sahibi kazanır · Projected score 1–1 · 57% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Cherno More Varna kazanç 57%,Beraberlik 25%,Dunav Ruse kazanç 18%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.44 · 2.5 Üst 44% · Current selection Alt