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BGR Bulgaaria kõrgliiga · Final ·

Varna Tšerno More vs Dunav Ruse

Prediction review

Kodu form
Final score3–1Ennustus 1–1
Võõras form
Koduvõit57%
Viik25%
Võõrsilvõit18%
Full model forecastKoduvõitTier A · 57% selection probability
Prediction Võidetud
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callKoduvõit57% selection probability
Projected score1–1Varna Tšerno MoreDunav Ruse
Expected goals2.44Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Alla56% for the selected side
Mõlemad meeskonnad löövad väravaEi50% for the selected side
Expected corners8.7Alla 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValikTõenäosusÕiglane koefitsient
57% / 25% / 18%Mängu tulemusKoduvõit57%1.75
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Dunav Ruse win (18.1%)Topeltvõimalus1X81.9%1.22
Üle 44% · Alla 56%Goals 2.5Alla56%1.79
Jah 50% · Ei 50%Mõlemad meeskonnad löövad väravaEi50%2.00
2.44 total expected goalsTäpne skoor1–1
8.7 expected match cornersNurgalöögidAlla 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin6.2%Largest probability gapVarna Tšerno More winDifference-1.1 pp
OutcomeEnnustusÕiglane koefitsientReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Varna Tšerno More win57%1.751.6258.1%-1.1 pp
Viik25%4.003.8024.8%+0.2 pp
Dunav Ruse win18%5.565.5017.1%+0.9 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Varna Tšerno More1.31

Kodu share of expected goals 53.7%

Total expected goals2.44Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Üle 44% · Alla 56%

Dunav Ruse1.13

Võõras share of expected goals 46.3%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJah 50% · Ei 50%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Kodu-context · form sequence

Varna Tšerno More

0.20pts / match
Mängitud5Wins0Drawn1Losses4Punktid1

SignalKodu matches over 2.5: 3/5

Võõras-context · form sequence

Dunav Ruse

0.60pts / match
Mängitud5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Punktid3

SignalKodu failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
57%
Võit probability excluding draw
18%
1
Points from supplied form
3
1.31
Expected goals
1.13
Varna Tšerno MoreDunav Ruse
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Varna Tšerno More signalKodu matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Dunav Ruse signalKodu failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk43% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Viik probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

Varna Tšerno More vs Dunav Ruse FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Koduvõit · Projected score 1–1 · 57% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Varna Tšerno More võit 57%,Viik 25%,Dunav Ruse võit 18%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.44 · Üle 2.5 44% · Current selection Alla