MatchFormula Spiel finden
Menu
UTC+8
ZeitzoneAsia/Shanghai
Deutsch
BGR Bulgarien - 1. Liga · Final ·

Cherno More Varna vs FC Dunaw Russe

Prediction review

Heim form
Final score3–1Prognose 1–1
Auswärts form
Heimsieg57%
Unentschieden25%
Auswärtssieg18%
Full model forecastHeimsiegTier A · 57% selection probability
Prediction Gewonnen
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHeimsieg57% selection probability
Projected score1–1Cherno More VarnaFC Dunaw Russe
Expected goals2.44Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Unter56% for the selected side
Beide Teams treffenNein50% for the selected side
Expected corners8.7Unter 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketAuswahlWahrscheinlichkeitFaire Quote
57% / 25% / 18%SpielergebnisHeimsieg57%1.75
Derived from 1X2 · excludes FC Dunaw Russe win (18.1%)Doppelte Chance1X81.9%1.22
Über 44% · Unter 56%Goals 2.5Unter56%1.79
Ja 50% · Nein 50%Beide Teams treffenNein50%2.00
2.44 total expected goalsGenaues Ergebnis1–1
8.7 expected match cornersEckenUnter 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin6.2%Largest probability gapCherno More Varna winDifference-1.1 pp
OutcomePrognoseFaire QuoteReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Cherno More Varna win57%1.751.6258.1%-1.1 pp
Unentschieden25%4.003.8024.8%+0.2 pp
FC Dunaw Russe win18%5.565.5017.1%+0.9 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Cherno More Varna1.31

Heim share of expected goals 53.7%

Total expected goals2.44Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Über 44% · Unter 56%

FC Dunaw Russe1.13

Auswärts share of expected goals 46.3%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 50% · Nein 50%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Heim-context · form sequence

Cherno More Varna

0.20pts / match
Gespielt5Wins0Drawn1Losses4Punkte1

SignalHeim matches over 2.5: 3/5

Auswärts-context · form sequence

FC Dunaw Russe

0.60pts / match
Gespielt5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Punkte3

SignalHeim failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
57%
Gewinn probability excluding draw
18%
1
Points from supplied form
3
1.31
Expected goals
1.13
Cherno More VarnaFC Dunaw Russe
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Cherno More Varna signalHeim matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02FC Dunaw Russe signalHeim failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk43% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Unentschieden probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

Cherno More Varna vs FC Dunaw Russe FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Heimsieg · Projected score 1–1 · 57% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Cherno More Varna Gewinn 57%,Unentschieden 25%,FC Dunaw Russe Gewinn 18%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.44 · Über 2.5 44% · Current selection Unter