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BGR Βουλγαρία - Πρώτη Λίγκα · Final ·

Τσέρνο Μόρε Βάρνα vs Ντουνάβ Ρούσε

Prediction review

Γηπεδούχος form
Final score3–1Πρόβλεψη 1–1
Φιλοξενούμενος form
Νίκη γηπεδούχου57%
Ισοπαλία25%
Νίκη φιλοξενούμενου18%
Full model forecastΝίκη γηπεδούχουTier A · 57% selection probability
Prediction Επιτυχία
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callΝίκη γηπεδούχου57% selection probability
Projected score1–1Τσέρνο Μόρε ΒάρναΝτουνάβ Ρούσε
Expected goals2.44Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Κάτω56% for the selected side
Σκοράρουν και οι δύοΌχι50% for the selected side
Expected corners8.7Κάτω 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketΕπιλογήΠιθανότηταΔίκαιη απόδοση
57% / 25% / 18%Αποτέλεσμα αγώναΝίκη γηπεδούχου57%1.75
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Ντουνάβ Ρούσε win (18.1%)Διπλή Ευκαιρία1X81.9%1.22
Άνω 44% · Κάτω 56%Goals 2.5Κάτω56%1.79
Ναι 50% · Όχι 50%Σκοράρουν και οι δύοΌχι50%2.00
2.44 total expected goalsΑκριβές σκορ1–1
8.7 expected match cornersΚόρνερΚάτω 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin6.2%Largest probability gapΤσέρνο Μόρε Βάρνα winDifference-1.1 pp
OutcomeΠρόβλεψηΔίκαιη απόδοσηReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Τσέρνο Μόρε Βάρνα win57%1.751.6258.1%-1.1 pp
Ισοπαλία25%4.003.8024.8%+0.2 pp
Ντουνάβ Ρούσε win18%5.565.5017.1%+0.9 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Τσέρνο Μόρε Βάρνα1.31

Γηπεδούχος share of expected goals 53.7%

Total expected goals2.44Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Άνω 44% · Κάτω 56%

Ντουνάβ Ρούσε1.13

Φιλοξενούμενος share of expected goals 46.3%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitΝαι 50% · Όχι 50%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Γηπεδούχος-context · form sequence

Τσέρνο Μόρε Βάρνα

0.20pts / match
Αγώνες5Wins0Drawn1Losses4Πόντοι1

SignalΓηπεδούχος matches over 2.5: 3/5

Φιλοξενούμενος-context · form sequence

Ντουνάβ Ρούσε

0.60pts / match
Αγώνες5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Πόντοι3

SignalΓηπεδούχος failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
57%
Νίκη probability excluding draw
18%
1
Points from supplied form
3
1.31
Expected goals
1.13
Τσέρνο Μόρε ΒάρναΝτουνάβ Ρούσε
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Τσέρνο Μόρε Βάρνα signalΓηπεδούχος matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Ντουνάβ Ρούσε signalΓηπεδούχος failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk43% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ισοπαλία probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

Τσέρνο Μόρε Βάρνα vs Ντουνάβ Ρούσε FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Νίκη γηπεδούχου · Projected score 1–1 · 57% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Τσέρνο Μόρε Βάρνα νίκη 57%,Ισοπαλία 25%,Ντουνάβ Ρούσε νίκη 18%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.44 · Άνω 2.5 44% · Current selection Κάτω