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BGR Bułgaria - 1. Liga · Final ·

Czerno More Warna vs Dunav Ruse

Prediction review

Gospodarze form
Final score3–1Prognoza 1–1
Goście form
Wygrana gospodarzy57%
Remis25%
Wygrana gości18%
Full model forecastWygrana gospodarzyTier A · 57% selection probability
Prediction Trafiony
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callWygrana gospodarzy57% selection probability
Projected score1–1Czerno More WarnaDunav Ruse
Expected goals2.44Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Poniżej56% for the selected side
Obie drużyny strzeląNie50% for the selected side
Expected corners8.7Poniżej 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketWybórPrawdopodobieństwoUczciwy kurs
57% / 25% / 18%Wynik meczuWygrana gospodarzy57%1.75
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Dunav Ruse win (18.1%)Podwójna szansa1X81.9%1.22
Powyżej 44% · Poniżej 56%Goals 2.5Poniżej56%1.79
Tak 50% · Nie 50%Obie drużyny strzeląNie50%2.00
2.44 total expected goalsDokładny wynik1–1
8.7 expected match cornersRożnePoniżej 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin6.2%Largest probability gapCzerno More Warna winDifference-1.1 pp
OutcomePrognozaUczciwy kursReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Czerno More Warna win57%1.751.6258.1%-1.1 pp
Remis25%4.003.8024.8%+0.2 pp
Dunav Ruse win18%5.565.5017.1%+0.9 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Czerno More Warna1.31

Gospodarze share of expected goals 53.7%

Total expected goals2.44Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Powyżej 44% · Poniżej 56%

Dunav Ruse1.13

Goście share of expected goals 46.3%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitTak 50% · Nie 50%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gospodarze-context · form sequence

Czerno More Warna

0.20pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins0Drawn1Losses4Punkty1

SignalGospodarze matches over 2.5: 3/5

Goście-context · form sequence

Dunav Ruse

0.60pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Punkty3

SignalGospodarze failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
57%
Wygrana probability excluding draw
18%
1
Points from supplied form
3
1.31
Expected goals
1.13
Czerno More WarnaDunav Ruse
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Czerno More Warna signalGospodarze matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Dunav Ruse signalGospodarze failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk43% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remis probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

Czerno More Warna vs Dunav Ruse FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Wygrana gospodarzy · Projected score 1–1 · 57% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Czerno More Warna wygrana 57%,Remis 25%,Dunav Ruse wygrana 18%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.44 · Powyżej 2.5 44% · Current selection Poniżej