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INT Peru Liga 1 · Fixture ·

Sport Huancayo vs Deportivo Moquegua

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score2–12.56 expected goals
Away form
Home win49%
Draw28%
Away win23%
Full model forecastHome winTier A · 49% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win49% selection probability
Projected score2–1Sport HuancayoDeportivo Moquegua
Expected goals2.56Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Under53% for the selected side
Both teams scoreNo52% for the selected side
Expected corners8.6Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
49% / 28% / 23%Match resultHome win49%2.04
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Deportivo Moquegua win (22.9%)Double chance1X77.1%1.30
Over 47% · Under 53%Goals 2.5Under53%1.89
Yes 48% · No 52%Both teams scoreNo52%1.92
2.56 total expected goalsCorrect score2–1
8.6 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFair odds
Sport Huancayo win49%2.04
Draw28%3.57
Deportivo Moquegua win23%4.35

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Sport Huancayo1.70

Home share of expected goals 66.4%

Total expected goals2.56Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 47% · Under 53%

Deportivo Moquegua0.86

Away share of expected goals 33.6%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitYes 48% · No 52%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Sport Huancayo

1.40pts / match
Played5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Points7

SignalHome clean sheets: 2/5

Away-context · form sequence

Deportivo Moquegua

0.80pts / match
Played5Wins0Drawn4Losses1Points4

SignalAway unbeaten 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
49%
Win probability excluding draw
23%
7
Points from supplied form
4
1.70
Expected goals
0.86
Sport HuancayoDeportivo Moquegua
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Sport Huancayo signalHome clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Deportivo Moquegua signalAway unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk51% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

Sport Huancayo vs Deportivo Moquegua FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–1 · 49% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Sport Huancayo win 49%,Draw 28%,Deportivo Moquegua win 23%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.56 · Over 2.5 47% · Current selection Under