Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
32% / 27% / 41%Match resultAway win41%2.44
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (27.2%)Double chance1272.8%1.37
Over 50% · Under 50%Goals 2.5Under50%2.00
Yes 53% · No 47%Both teams scoreYes53%1.89
2.66 total expected goalsCorrect score2–1——
8.9 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5——
Price comparison
Published forecast vs reference market
Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.
Displayed margin8.2%Largest probability gapAlianza Atletico winDifference+1.2 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Alianza Atletico win32%3.133.0030.8%+1.2 pp
Draw27%3.703.4027.2%-0.2 pp
Sporting Cristal win41%2.442.2042%-1.0 pp
Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Home share of expected goals 59%
Total expected goals2.66Balanced
Dedicated goals model: Over 50% · Under 50%
Away share of expected goals 41%
Projected score2–1BTTS splitYes 53% · No 47%Match profileBalanced
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Home-context · form sequence
1.40pts / matchAlianza Atletico
DWLWL
Played5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Points7
SignalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5
Away-context · form sequence
1.40pts / matchSporting Cristal
WDWLL
Played5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Points7
SignalNo recent signal
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
32%
Win probability excluding draw
41%7
Points from supplied form
71.57
Expected goals
1.09Alianza AtleticoSporting Cristal
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Market-aware blend leans AWAY; raw model leaned HOME
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 27%.
Match questions
Alianza Atletico vs Sporting Cristal FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Away win · Projected score 2–1 · 41% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Alianza Atletico win 32%，Draw 27%，Sporting Cristal win 41%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 2.66 · Over 2.5 50% · Current selection Under。