Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
48% / 28% / 24%Match resultHome win48%2.08
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Comerciantes Unidos win (23.7%)Double chance1X76.3%1.31
Over 45% · Under 55%Goals 2.5Under55%1.82
Yes 50% · No 50%Both teams scoreYes50%2.00
2.46 total expected goalsCorrect score1–1——
8.5 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5——
Price comparison
Published forecast vs reference market
Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.
Displayed margin8.1%Largest probability gapComerciantes Unidos winDifference+0.9 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
UTC Cajamarca win48%2.081.9148.4%-0.4 pp
Draw28%3.573.2528.5%-0.5 pp
Comerciantes Unidos win24%4.174.0023.1%+0.9 pp
Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Home share of expected goals 54.1%
Total expected goals2.46Balanced
Dedicated goals model: Over 45% · Under 55%
Away share of expected goals 45.9%
Projected score1–1BTTS splitYes 50% · No 50%Match profileBalanced
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Home-context · form sequence
0.40pts / matchUTC Cajamarca
LDLDL
Played5Wins0Drawn2Losses3Points2
SignalHome failed to score: 2/5
Away-context · form sequence
1.00pts / matchComerciantes Unidos
LWLDD
Played5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Points5
SignalAway matches over 2.5: 4/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
48%
Win probability excluding draw
24%2
Points from supplied form
51.33
Expected goals
1.13UTC CajamarcaComerciantes Unidos
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Model and market agree on HOME
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 28%.
Match questions
UTC Cajamarca vs Comerciantes Unidos FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 1–1 · 48% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
UTC Cajamarca win 48%，Draw 28%，Comerciantes Unidos win 24%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 2.46 · Over 2.5 45% · Current selection Under。