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INT Peru Liga 1 · Final ·

FC Cajamarca vs Atletico Grau

Prediction review

Home form
Final score1–3Forecast 2–1
Away form
Home win48%
Draw29%
Away win23%
Full model forecastHome winTier A · 48% selection probability
Prediction Lost
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win48% selection probability
Projected score2–1FC CajamarcaAtletico Grau
Expected goals2.45Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Under56% for the selected side
Both teams scoreNo54% for the selected side
Expected corners8.3Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
48% / 29% / 23%Match resultHome win48%2.08
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Atletico Grau win (23.5%)Double chance1X76.5%1.31
Over 44% · Under 56%Goals 2.5Under56%1.79
Yes 46% · No 54%Both teams scoreNo54%1.85
2.45 total expected goalsCorrect score2–1
8.3 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFair odds
FC Cajamarca win48%2.08
Draw29%3.45
Atletico Grau win23%4.35

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

FC Cajamarca1.61

Home share of expected goals 65.7%

Total expected goals2.45Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 44% · Under 56%

Atletico Grau0.84

Away share of expected goals 34.3%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitYes 46% · No 54%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

FC Cajamarca

0.80pts / match
Played5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Points4

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 4/5

Away-context · form sequence

Atletico Grau

1.40pts / match
Played5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Points7

SignalAway matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
48%
Win probability excluding draw
23%
4
Points from supplied form
7
1.61
Expected goals
0.84
FC CajamarcaAtletico Grau
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01FC Cajamarca signalHome matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Atletico Grau signalAway matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk52% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

FC Cajamarca vs Atletico Grau FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–1 · 48% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

FC Cajamarca win 48%,Draw 29%,Atletico Grau win 23%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.45 · Over 2.5 44% · Current selection Under