Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
36% / 29% / 35%Match resultHome win36%2.78
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (29.3%)Double chance1270.7%1.41
Over 47% · Under 53%Goals 2.5Under53%1.89
Yes 52% · No 48%Both teams scoreYes52%1.92
2.54 total expected goalsCorrect score1–1——
9.1 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5——
Probability view
Forecast probabilities and fair odds
No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.
OutcomeForecast probabilityFair odds
Juan Pablo II College win36%2.78
Draw29%3.45
AD Tarma win35%2.86
Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Home share of expected goals 50.4%
Total expected goals2.54Balanced
Dedicated goals model: Over 47% · Under 53%
Away share of expected goals 49.6%
Projected score1–1BTTS splitYes 52% · No 48%Match profileBalanced
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Home-context · form sequence
1.00pts / matchJuan Pablo II College
LDLWD
Played5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Points5
SignalHome matches under 2.5: 4/5
Away-context · form sequence
0.40pts / matchAD Tarma
DDLLL
Played5Wins0Drawn2Losses3Points2
SignalHome clean sheets: 2/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
36%
Win probability excluding draw
35%5
Points from supplied form
21.28
Expected goals
1.26Juan Pablo II CollegeAD Tarma
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 29%.
Match questions
Juan Pablo II College vs AD Tarma FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 1–1 · 36% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Juan Pablo II College win 36%，Draw 29%，AD Tarma win 35%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 2.54 · Over 2.5 47% · Current selection Under。