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INT Peru Liga 1 · Final ·

FC Cajamarca vs Atletico Grau

Prediction review

Casa form
Final score1–3Pronostico 2–1
Trasferta form
Vittoria casa48%
Pareggio29%
Vittoria ospite23%
Full model forecastVittoria casaTier A · 48% selection probability
Prediction Perso
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVittoria casa48% selection probability
Projected score2–1FC CajamarcaAtletico Grau
Expected goals2.45Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Sotto56% for the selected side
Entrambe le squadre segnanoNo54% for the selected side
Expected corners8.3Sotto 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelezioneProbabilitàQuote eque
48% / 29% / 23%Esito partitaVittoria casa48%2.08
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Atletico Grau win (23.5%)Doppia Chance1X76.5%1.31
Sopra 44% · Sotto 56%Goals 2.5Sotto56%1.79
Sì 46% · No 54%Entrambe le squadre segnanoNo54%1.85
2.45 total expected goalsRisultato esatto2–1
8.3 expected match cornersCornerSotto 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityQuote eque
FC Cajamarca win48%2.08
Pareggio29%3.45
Atletico Grau win23%4.35

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

FC Cajamarca1.61

Casa share of expected goals 65.7%

Total expected goals2.45Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Sopra 44% · Sotto 56%

Atletico Grau0.84

Trasferta share of expected goals 34.3%

Projected score2–1BTTS split 46% · No 54%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Casa-context · form sequence

FC Cajamarca

0.80pts / match
Giocate5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Punti4

SignalCasa matches over 2.5: 4/5

Trasferta-context · form sequence

Atletico Grau

1.40pts / match
Giocate5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Punti7

SignalTrasferta matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
48%
Vinta probability excluding draw
23%
4
Points from supplied form
7
1.61
Expected goals
0.84
FC CajamarcaAtletico Grau
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01FC Cajamarca signalCasa matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Atletico Grau signalTrasferta matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk52% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Pareggio probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

FC Cajamarca vs Atletico Grau FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vittoria casa · Projected score 2–1 · 48% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

FC Cajamarca vinta 48%,Pareggio 29%,Atletico Grau vinta 23%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.45 · Sopra 2.5 44% · Current selection Sotto