MatchFormula Zoek een wedstrijd
Menu
UTC+8
TijdzoneAsia/Shanghai
Nederlands
INT Peru Liga 1 · Final ·

FC Cajamarca vs Atletico Grau

Prediction review

Thuis form
Final score1–3Voorspelling 2–1
Uit form
Thuiswinst48%
Gelijkspel29%
Uitwinst23%
Full model forecastThuiswinstTier A · 48% selection probability
Prediction Verloren
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callThuiswinst48% selection probability
Projected score2–1FC CajamarcaAtletico Grau
Expected goals2.45Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Onder56% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenNee54% for the selected side
Expected corners8.3Onder 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
48% / 29% / 23%WedstrijdresultaatThuiswinst48%2.08
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Atletico Grau win (23.5%)Dubbele Kans1X76.5%1.31
Boven 44% · Onder 56%Goals 2.5Onder56%1.79
Ja 46% · Nee 54%Beide teams scorenNee54%1.85
2.45 total expected goalsExacte score2–1
8.3 expected match cornersHoekschoppenOnder 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nee snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityEerlijke odds
FC Cajamarca win48%2.08
Gelijkspel29%3.45
Atletico Grau win23%4.35

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

FC Cajamarca1.61

Thuis share of expected goals 65.7%

Total expected goals2.45Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Boven 44% · Onder 56%

Atletico Grau0.84

Uit share of expected goals 34.3%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 46% · Nee 54%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

FC Cajamarca

0.80pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Punten4

SignalThuis matches over 2.5: 4/5

Uit-context · form sequence

Atletico Grau

1.40pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Punten7

SignalUit matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
48%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
23%
4
Points from supplied form
7
1.61
Expected goals
0.84
FC CajamarcaAtletico Grau
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01FC Cajamarca signalThuis matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Atletico Grau signalUit matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk52% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

FC Cajamarca vs Atletico Grau FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Thuiswinst · Projected score 2–1 · 48% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

FC Cajamarca gewonnen 48%,Gelijkspel 29%,Atletico Grau gewonnen 23%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.45 · Boven 2.5 44% · Current selection Onder