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INT Peru Liga 1 · Trận đấu ·

UTC Cajamarca vs Comerciantes Unidos

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Chủ nhà form
Projected score1–12.45 expected goals
Khách form
Chủ nhà thắng48%
Hòa28%
Đội khách thắng24%
Full model forecastChủ nhà thắngTier A · 48% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callChủ nhà thắng48% selection probability
Projected score1–1UTC CajamarcaComerciantes Unidos
Expected goals2.45Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Xỉu56% for the selected side
Cả hai đội ghi bàn50% for the selected side
Expected corners8.5Xỉu 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketLựa chọnXác suấtTỷ lệ công bằng
48% / 28% / 24%Kết quả trận đấuChủ nhà thắng48%2.08
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Comerciantes Unidos win (23.7%)Cơ hội kép1X76.3%1.31
Tài 44% · Xỉu 56%Goals 2.5Xỉu56%1.79
Có 50% · Không 50%Cả hai đội ghi bàn50%2.00
2.45 total expected goalsTỷ số chính xác1–1
8.5 expected match cornersPhạt gócXỉu 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin8.1%Largest probability gapComerciantes Unidos winDifference+0.9 pp
OutcomeDự đoánTỷ lệ công bằngReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
UTC Cajamarca win48%2.081.9148.4%-0.4 pp
Hòa28%3.573.2528.5%-0.5 pp
Comerciantes Unidos win24%4.174.0023.1%+0.9 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

UTC Cajamarca1.32

Chủ nhà share of expected goals 53.9%

Total expected goals2.45Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Tài 44% · Xỉu 56%

Comerciantes Unidos1.13

Khách share of expected goals 46.1%

Projected score1–1BTTS split 50% · Không 50%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Chủ nhà-context · form sequence

UTC Cajamarca

0.40pts / match
Số trận5Wins0Drawn2Losses3Điểm2

SignalChủ nhà failed to score: 2/5

Khách-context · form sequence

Comerciantes Unidos

1.00pts / match
Số trận5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Điểm5

SignalKhách matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
48%
Thắng probability excluding draw
24%
2
Points from supplied form
5
1.32
Expected goals
1.13
UTC CajamarcaComerciantes Unidos
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01UTC Cajamarca signalChủ nhà failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Comerciantes Unidos signalKhách matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk52% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Hòa probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

UTC Cajamarca vs Comerciantes Unidos FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Chủ nhà thắng · Projected score 1–1 · 48% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

UTC Cajamarca thắng 48%,Hòa 28%,Comerciantes Unidos thắng 24%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.45 · Tài 2.5 44% · Current selection Xỉu