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INT Peru Liga 1 · Trận đấu ·

Alianza Atletico vs Sporting Cristal

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Chủ nhà form
Projected score2–12.66 expected goals
Khách form
Chủ nhà thắng32%
Hòa27%
Đội khách thắng41%
Full model forecastĐội khách thắngTier A · 41% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans AWAY; raw model leaned HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callĐội khách thắng41% selection probability
Projected score2–1Alianza AtleticoSporting Cristal
Expected goals2.66Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Xỉu50% for the selected side
Cả hai đội ghi bàn53% for the selected side
Expected corners8.9Xỉu 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketLựa chọnXác suấtTỷ lệ công bằng
32% / 27% / 41%Kết quả trận đấuĐội khách thắng41%2.44
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (27.2%)Cơ hội kép1272.8%1.37
Tài 50% · Xỉu 50%Goals 2.5Xỉu50%2.00
Có 53% · Không 47%Cả hai đội ghi bàn53%1.89
2.66 total expected goalsTỷ số chính xác2–1
8.9 expected match cornersPhạt gócXỉu 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin8.2%Largest probability gapAlianza Atletico winDifference+1.2 pp
OutcomeDự đoánTỷ lệ công bằngReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Alianza Atletico win32%3.133.0030.8%+1.2 pp
Hòa27%3.703.4027.2%-0.2 pp
Sporting Cristal win41%2.442.2042%-1.0 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Alianza Atletico1.57

Chủ nhà share of expected goals 59%

Total expected goals2.66Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Tài 50% · Xỉu 50%

Sporting Cristal1.09

Khách share of expected goals 41%

Projected score2–1BTTS split 53% · Không 47%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Chủ nhà-context · form sequence

Alianza Atletico

1.40pts / match
Số trận5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Điểm7

SignalChủ nhà matches over 2.5: 3/5

Khách-context · form sequence

Sporting Cristal

1.40pts / match
Số trận5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Điểm7

SignalKhông recent signal

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
32%
Thắng probability excluding draw
41%
7
Points from supplied form
7
1.57
Expected goals
1.09
Alianza AtleticoSporting Cristal
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans AWAY; raw model leaned HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Alianza Atletico signalChủ nhà matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Sporting Cristal signalKhông recent signal

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk59% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Hòa probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

Alianza Atletico vs Sporting Cristal FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Đội khách thắng · Projected score 2–1 · 41% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Alianza Atletico thắng 32%,Hòa 27%,Sporting Cristal thắng 41%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.66 · Tài 2.5 50% · Current selection Xỉu