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INT Peru Liga 1 · Матч ·

Альянса Атлетико vs Sporting Cristal

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Хозяева form
Projected score2–12.66 expected goals
Гости form
Победа хозяев32%
Ничья27%
Победа гостей41%
Full model forecastПобеда гостейTier A · 41% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans AWAY; raw model leaned HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда гостей41% selection probability
Projected score2–1Альянса АтлетикоSporting Cristal
Expected goals2.66Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Меньше50% for the selected side
Обе забьютДа53% for the selected side
Expected corners8.9Меньше 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketВыборВероятностьСправедливый коэффициент
32% / 27% / 41%Исход матчаПобеда гостей41%2.44
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (27.2%)Двойной шанс1272.8%1.37
Больше 50% · Меньше 50%Goals 2.5Меньше50%2.00
Да 53% · Нет 47%Обе забьютДа53%1.89
2.66 total expected goalsТочный счёт2–1
8.9 expected match cornersУгловыеМеньше 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin8.2%Largest probability gapАльянса Атлетико winDifference+1.2 pp
OutcomeПрогнозСправедливый коэффициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Альянса Атлетико win32%3.133.0030.8%+1.2 pp
Ничья27%3.703.4027.2%-0.2 pp
Sporting Cristal win41%2.442.2042%-1.0 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Альянса Атлетико1.57

Хозяева share of expected goals 59%

Total expected goals2.66Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Больше 50% · Меньше 50%

Sporting Cristal1.09

Гости share of expected goals 41%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitДа 53% · Нет 47%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Хозяева-context · form sequence

Альянса Атлетико

1.40pts / match
Сыграно5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Баллы7

SignalХозяева matches over 2.5: 3/5

Гости-context · form sequence

Sporting Cristal

1.40pts / match
Сыграно5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Баллы7

SignalНет recent signal

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
32%
Выигрыш probability excluding draw
41%
7
Points from supplied form
7
1.57
Expected goals
1.09
Альянса АтлетикоSporting Cristal
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans AWAY; raw model leaned HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Альянса Атлетико signalХозяева matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Sporting Cristal signalНет recent signal

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk59% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ничья probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

Альянса Атлетико vs Sporting Cristal FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа гостей · Projected score 2–1 · 41% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Альянса Атлетико выигрыш 32%,Ничья 27%,Sporting Cristal выигрыш 41%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.66 · ТБ 2.5 50% · Current selection Меньше