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INT Peru Liga 1 · Match ·

Alianza Atlético vs Sporting Cristal

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domicile form
Projected score2–12.66 expected goals
Extérieur form
Victoire à domicile32%
Nul27%
Victoire à l’extérieur41%
Full model forecastVictoire à l’extérieurTier A · 41% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans AWAY; raw model leaned HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoire à l’extérieur41% selection probability
Projected score2–1Alianza AtléticoSporting Cristal
Expected goals2.66Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Moins de50% for the selected side
Les deux équipes marquentOui53% for the selected side
Expected corners8.9Moins de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSélectionProbabilitéCote juste
32% / 27% / 41%Résultat du matchVictoire à l’extérieur41%2.44
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (27.2%)Double chance1272.8%1.37
Plus de 50% · Moins de 50%Goals 2.5Moins de50%2.00
Oui 53% · Non 47%Les deux équipes marquentOui53%1.89
2.66 total expected goalsScore exact2–1
8.9 expected match cornersCornersMoins de 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin8.2%Largest probability gapAlianza Atlético winDifference+1.2 pp
OutcomePronosticCote justeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Alianza Atlético win32%3.133.0030.8%+1.2 pp
Nul27%3.703.4027.2%-0.2 pp
Sporting Cristal win41%2.442.2042%-1.0 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Alianza Atlético1.57

Domicile share of expected goals 59%

Total expected goals2.66Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Plus de 50% · Moins de 50%

Sporting Cristal1.09

Extérieur share of expected goals 41%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitOui 53% · Non 47%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domicile-context · form sequence

Alianza Atlético

1.40pts / match
Joués5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Points7

SignalDomicile matches over 2.5: 3/5

Extérieur-context · form sequence

Sporting Cristal

1.40pts / match
Joués5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Points7

SignalNon recent signal

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
32%
Gagné probability excluding draw
41%
7
Points from supplied form
7
1.57
Expected goals
1.09
Alianza AtléticoSporting Cristal
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans AWAY; raw model leaned HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Alianza Atlético signalDomicile matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Sporting Cristal signalNon recent signal

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk59% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Nul probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

Alianza Atlético vs Sporting Cristal FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoire à l’extérieur · Projected score 2–1 · 41% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Alianza Atlético victoire 32%,Nul 27%,Sporting Cristal victoire 41%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.66 · Plus de 2.5 50% · Current selection Moins de