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INT Peru Liga 1 · Partida ·

Alianza Atletico vs Sporting Cristal

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Mandante form
Projected score2–12.66 expected goals
Visitante form
Vitória da casa32%
Empate27%
Vitória visitante41%
Full model forecastVitória visitanteTier A · 41% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans AWAY; raw model leaned HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVitória visitante41% selection probability
Projected score2–1Alianza AtleticoSporting Cristal
Expected goals2.66Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Abaixo50% for the selected side
Ambas as equipes marcamSim53% for the selected side
Expected corners8.9Abaixo 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSeleçãoProbabilidadeOdds justas
32% / 27% / 41%Resultado da partidaVitória visitante41%2.44
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (27.2%)Dupla Chance1272.8%1.37
Acima 50% · Abaixo 50%Goals 2.5Abaixo50%2.00
Sim 53% · Não 47%Ambas as equipes marcamSim53%1.89
2.66 total expected goalsPlacar exato2–1
8.9 expected match cornersEscanteiosAbaixo 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin8.2%Largest probability gapAlianza Atletico winDifference+1.2 pp
OutcomePrevisãoOdds justasReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Alianza Atletico win32%3.133.0030.8%+1.2 pp
Empate27%3.703.4027.2%-0.2 pp
Sporting Cristal win41%2.442.2042%-1.0 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Alianza Atletico1.57

Mandante share of expected goals 59%

Total expected goals2.66Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Acima 50% · Abaixo 50%

Sporting Cristal1.09

Visitante share of expected goals 41%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitSim 53% · Não 47%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Mandante-context · form sequence

Alianza Atletico

1.40pts / match
Jogos5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Pontos7

SignalMandante matches over 2.5: 3/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

Sporting Cristal

1.40pts / match
Jogos5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Pontos7

SignalNão recent signal

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
32%
Ganhou probability excluding draw
41%
7
Points from supplied form
7
1.57
Expected goals
1.09
Alianza AtleticoSporting Cristal
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans AWAY; raw model leaned HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Alianza Atletico signalMandante matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Sporting Cristal signalNão recent signal

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk59% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

Alianza Atletico vs Sporting Cristal FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vitória visitante · Projected score 2–1 · 41% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Alianza Atletico ganhou 32%,Empate 27%,Sporting Cristal ganhou 41%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.66 · Acima 2.5 50% · Current selection Abaixo