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INT ペルー リーガ1 · 試合 ·

UTCカハマルカ vs コメルシャンツ・ウニドス

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

ホーム form
Projected score1–12.45 expected goals
アウェイ form
ホーム勝利48%
引き分け28%
アウェイ勝利24%
Full model forecastホーム勝利Tier A · 48% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callホーム勝利48% selection probability
Projected score1–1UTCカハマルカコメルシャンツ・ウニドス
Expected goals2.45Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5アンダー56% for the selected side
両チーム得点はい50% for the selected side
Expected corners8.5アンダー 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market選択確率フェアオッズ
48% / 28% / 24%試合結果ホーム勝利48%2.08
Derived from 1X2 · excludes コメルシャンツ・ウニドス win (23.7%)ダブルチャンス1X76.3%1.31
オーバー 44% · アンダー 56%Goals 2.5アンダー56%1.79
はい 50% · いいえ 50%両チーム得点はい50%2.00
2.45 total expected goals正確なスコア1–1
8.5 expected match cornersコーナーアンダー 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin8.1%Largest probability gapコメルシャンツ・ウニドス winDifference+0.9 pp
Outcome予想フェアオッズReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
UTCカハマルカ win48%2.081.9148.4%-0.4 pp
引き分け28%3.573.2528.5%-0.5 pp
コメルシャンツ・ウニドス win24%4.174.0023.1%+0.9 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

UTCカハマルカ1.32

ホーム share of expected goals 53.9%

Total expected goals2.45Balanced

Dedicated goals model: オーバー 44% · アンダー 56%

コメルシャンツ・ウニドス1.13

アウェイ share of expected goals 46.1%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitはい 50% · いいえ 50%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

ホーム-context · form sequence

UTCカハマルカ

0.40pts / match
試合数5Wins0Drawn2Losses3ポイント2

Signalホーム failed to score: 2/5

アウェイ-context · form sequence

コメルシャンツ・ウニドス

1.00pts / match
試合数5Wins1Drawn2Losses2ポイント5

Signalアウェイ matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
48%
勝ち probability excluding draw
24%
2
Points from supplied form
5
1.32
Expected goals
1.13
UTCカハマルカコメルシャンツ・ウニドス
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01UTCカハマルカ signalホーム failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02コメルシャンツ・ウニドス signalアウェイ matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk52% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 引き分け probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

UTCカハマルカ vs コメルシャンツ・ウニドス FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: ホーム勝利 · Projected score 1–1 · 48% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

UTCカハマルカ 勝ち 48%,引き分け 28%,コメルシャンツ・ウニドス 勝ち 24%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.45 · オーバー 2.5 44% · Current selection アンダー