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UTC Cajamarca vs Comerciantes Unidos

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hjemme form
Projected score1–12.45 expected goals
Borte form
Hjemmeseier48%
Uavgjort28%
Borteseier24%
Full model forecastHjemmeseierTier A · 48% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHjemmeseier48% selection probability
Projected score1–1UTC CajamarcaComerciantes Unidos
Expected goals2.45Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Under56% for the selected side
Begge lag scorerJa50% for the selected side
Expected corners8.5Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValgSannsynlighetRettferdig odds
48% / 28% / 24%KampresultatHjemmeseier48%2.08
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Comerciantes Unidos win (23.7%)Dobbel sjanse1X76.3%1.31
Over 44% · Under 56%Goals 2.5Under56%1.79
Ja 50% · Nei 50%Begge lag scorerJa50%2.00
2.45 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat1–1
8.5 expected match cornersHjørnesparkUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin8.1%Largest probability gapComerciantes Unidos winDifference+0.9 pp
OutcomePrognoseRettferdig oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
UTC Cajamarca win48%2.081.9148.4%-0.4 pp
Uavgjort28%3.573.2528.5%-0.5 pp
Comerciantes Unidos win24%4.174.0023.1%+0.9 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

UTC Cajamarca1.32

Hjemme share of expected goals 53.9%

Total expected goals2.45Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 44% · Under 56%

Comerciantes Unidos1.13

Borte share of expected goals 46.1%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 50% · Nei 50%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hjemme-context · form sequence

UTC Cajamarca

0.40pts / match
Spilt5Wins0Drawn2Losses3Poeng2

SignalHjemme failed to score: 2/5

Borte-context · form sequence

Comerciantes Unidos

1.00pts / match
Spilt5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Poeng5

SignalBorte matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
48%
Vunnet probability excluding draw
24%
2
Points from supplied form
5
1.32
Expected goals
1.13
UTC CajamarcaComerciantes Unidos
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01UTC Cajamarca signalHjemme failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Comerciantes Unidos signalBorte matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk52% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Uavgjort probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

UTC Cajamarca vs Comerciantes Unidos FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hjemmeseier · Projected score 1–1 · 48% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

UTC Cajamarca vunnet 48%,Uavgjort 28%,Comerciantes Unidos vunnet 24%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.45 · Over 2.5 44% · Current selection Under