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ENG Inglaterra - Premier League · Round 1 ·

Manchester City vs Bournemouth

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Local form
Projected score2–13.20 expected goals
Visitante form
Victoria local56%
Empate24%
Victoria visitante20%
Full model forecastVictoria localTier A · 56% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoria local56% selection probability
Projected score2–1Manchester CityBournemouth
Expected goals3.20Abrir match profile
Goals 2.5Más de62% for the selected side
Ambos equipos marcan55% for the selected side
Expected corners10.8Más de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecciónProbabilidadCuotas justas
56% / 24% / 20%Resultado del partidoVictoria local56%1.79
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Bournemouth win (19.6%)Doble Oportunidad1X80.4%1.24
Más de 62% · Menos de 38%Goals 2.5Más de62%1.61
Sí 55% · No 45%Ambos equipos marcan55%1.82
3.20 total expected goalsMarcador exacto2–1
10.8 expected match cornersCórnersMás de 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityCuotas justas
Manchester City win56%1.79
Empate24%4.17
Bournemouth win20%5.00

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Manchester City2.25

Local share of expected goals 70.3%

Total expected goals3.20Abrir

Dedicated goals model: Más de 62% · Menos de 38%

Bournemouth0.95

Visitante share of expected goals 29.7%

Projected score2–1BTTS split 55% · No 45%Match profileAbrir
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Local-context · form sequence

Manchester City

1.60pts / match
Jugados5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Puntos8

SignalLocal unbeaten 4/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

Bournemouth

1.80pts / match
Jugados5Wins2Drawn3Losses0Puntos9

SignalLocal matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
56%
Ganado probability excluding draw
20%
8
Points from supplied form
9
2.25
Expected goals
0.95
Manchester CityBournemouth
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Manchester City signalLocal unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Bournemouth signalLocal matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk44% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

Manchester City vs Bournemouth FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoria local · Projected score 2–1 · 56% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Manchester City ganada 56%,Empate 24%,Bournemouth ganada 20%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.20 · Más de 2.5 62% · Current selection Más de