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ENG イングランド プレミアリーグ · Round 1 ·

マンチェスター・シティ vs ボーンマス

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

ホーム form
Projected score2–13.20 expected goals
アウェイ form
ホーム勝利56%
引き分け24%
アウェイ勝利20%
Full model forecastホーム勝利Tier A · 56% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callホーム勝利56% selection probability
Projected score2–1マンチェスター・シティボーンマス
Expected goals3.20始値 match profile
Goals 2.5オーバー62% for the selected side
両チーム得点はい55% for the selected side
Expected corners10.8オーバー 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market選択確率フェアオッズ
56% / 24% / 20%試合結果ホーム勝利56%1.79
Derived from 1X2 · excludes ボーンマス win (19.5%)ダブルチャンス1X80.5%1.24
オーバー 62% · アンダー 38%Goals 2.5オーバー62%1.61
はい 55% · いいえ 45%両チーム得点はい55%1.82
3.20 total expected goals正確なスコア2–1
10.8 expected match cornersコーナーオーバー 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

いいえ snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityフェアオッズ
マンチェスター・シティ win56%1.79
引き分け24%4.17
ボーンマス win20%5.00

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

マンチェスター・シティ2.25

ホーム share of expected goals 70.3%

Total expected goals3.20始値

Dedicated goals model: オーバー 62% · アンダー 38%

ボーンマス0.95

アウェイ share of expected goals 29.7%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitはい 55% · いいえ 45%Match profile始値
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

ホーム-context · form sequence

マンチェスター・シティ

1.60pts / match
試合数5Wins2Drawn2Losses1ポイント8

Signalホーム unbeaten 4/5

アウェイ-context · form sequence

ボーンマス

1.80pts / match
試合数5Wins2Drawn3Losses0ポイント9

Signalホーム matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
56%
勝ち probability excluding draw
20%
8
Points from supplied form
9
2.25
Expected goals
0.95
マンチェスター・シティボーンマス
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01マンチェスター・シティ signalホーム unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02ボーンマス signalホーム matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk44% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 引き分け probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

マンチェスター・シティ vs ボーンマス FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: ホーム勝利 · Projected score 2–1 · 56% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

マンチェスター・シティ 勝ち 56%,引き分け 24%,ボーンマス 勝ち 20%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.20 · オーバー 2.5 62% · Current selection オーバー