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ENG Inghilterra - Premier League · Round 1 ·

Man City vs Bournemouth

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Casa form
Projected score2–13.20 expected goals
Trasferta form
Vittoria casa56%
Pareggio24%
Vittoria ospite20%
Full model forecastVittoria casaTier A · 56% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVittoria casa56% selection probability
Projected score2–1Man CityBournemouth
Expected goals3.20Apertura match profile
Goals 2.5Sopra62% for the selected side
Entrambe le squadre segnano55% for the selected side
Expected corners10.8Sopra 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelezioneProbabilitàQuote eque
56% / 24% / 20%Esito partitaVittoria casa56%1.79
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Bournemouth win (19.6%)Doppia Chance1X80.4%1.24
Sopra 62% · Sotto 38%Goals 2.5Sopra62%1.61
Sì 55% · No 45%Entrambe le squadre segnano55%1.82
3.20 total expected goalsRisultato esatto2–1
10.8 expected match cornersCornerSopra 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityQuote eque
Man City win56%1.79
Pareggio24%4.17
Bournemouth win20%5.00

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Man City2.25

Casa share of expected goals 70.3%

Total expected goals3.20Apertura

Dedicated goals model: Sopra 62% · Sotto 38%

Bournemouth0.95

Trasferta share of expected goals 29.7%

Projected score2–1BTTS split 55% · No 45%Match profileApertura
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Casa-context · form sequence

Man City

1.60pts / match
Giocate5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Punti8

SignalCasa unbeaten 4/5

Trasferta-context · form sequence

Bournemouth

1.80pts / match
Giocate5Wins2Drawn3Losses0Punti9

SignalCasa matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
56%
Vinta probability excluding draw
20%
8
Points from supplied form
9
2.25
Expected goals
0.95
Man CityBournemouth
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Man City signalCasa unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Bournemouth signalCasa matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk44% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Pareggio probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

Man City vs Bournemouth FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vittoria casa · Projected score 2–1 · 56% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Man City vinta 56%,Pareggio 24%,Bournemouth vinta 20%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.20 · Sopra 2.5 62% · Current selection Sopra