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ENG Αγγλία - Πρέμιερ Λιγκ · Round 1 ·

Μάν. Σίτι vs Μπόρνμουθ

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Γηπεδούχος form
Projected score2–13.20 expected goals
Φιλοξενούμενος form
Νίκη γηπεδούχου56%
Ισοπαλία24%
Νίκη φιλοξενούμενου20%
Full model forecastΝίκη γηπεδούχουTier A · 56% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callΝίκη γηπεδούχου56% selection probability
Projected score2–1Μάν. ΣίτιΜπόρνμουθ
Expected goals3.20Άνοιγμα match profile
Goals 2.5Άνω62% for the selected side
Σκοράρουν και οι δύοΝαι55% for the selected side
Expected corners10.8Άνω 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketΕπιλογήΠιθανότηταΔίκαιη απόδοση
56% / 24% / 20%Αποτέλεσμα αγώναΝίκη γηπεδούχου56%1.79
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Μπόρνμουθ win (19.5%)Διπλή Ευκαιρία1X80.5%1.24
Άνω 62% · Κάτω 38%Goals 2.5Άνω62%1.61
Ναι 55% · Όχι 45%Σκοράρουν και οι δύοΝαι55%1.82
3.20 total expected goalsΑκριβές σκορ2–1
10.8 expected match cornersΚόρνερΆνω 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Όχι snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityΔίκαιη απόδοση
Μάν. Σίτι win56%1.79
Ισοπαλία24%4.17
Μπόρνμουθ win20%5.00

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Μάν. Σίτι2.25

Γηπεδούχος share of expected goals 70.3%

Total expected goals3.20Άνοιγμα

Dedicated goals model: Άνω 62% · Κάτω 38%

Μπόρνμουθ0.95

Φιλοξενούμενος share of expected goals 29.7%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitΝαι 55% · Όχι 45%Match profileΆνοιγμα
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Γηπεδούχος-context · form sequence

Μάν. Σίτι

1.60pts / match
Αγώνες5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Πόντοι8

SignalΓηπεδούχος unbeaten 4/5

Φιλοξενούμενος-context · form sequence

Μπόρνμουθ

1.80pts / match
Αγώνες5Wins2Drawn3Losses0Πόντοι9

SignalΓηπεδούχος matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
56%
Νίκη probability excluding draw
20%
8
Points from supplied form
9
2.25
Expected goals
0.95
Μάν. ΣίτιΜπόρνμουθ
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Μάν. Σίτι signalΓηπεδούχος unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Μπόρνμουθ signalΓηπεδούχος matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk44% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ισοπαλία probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

Μάν. Σίτι vs Μπόρνμουθ FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Νίκη γηπεδούχου · Projected score 2–1 · 56% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Μάν. Σίτι νίκη 56%,Ισοπαλία 24%,Μπόρνμουθ νίκη 20%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.20 · Άνω 2.5 62% · Current selection Άνω