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ENG Αγγλία - Πρέμιερ Λιγκ · Round 1 ·

Μπράιτον vs Άστον Βίλα

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Γηπεδούχος form
Projected score1–12.60 expected goals
Φιλοξενούμενος form
Νίκη γηπεδούχου43%
Ισοπαλία26%
Νίκη φιλοξενούμενου31%
Full model forecastΝίκη γηπεδούχουTier A · 43% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callΝίκη γηπεδούχου43% selection probability
Projected score1–1ΜπράιτονΆστον Βίλα
Expected goals2.60Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Κάτω52% for the selected side
Σκοράρουν και οι δύοΝαι53% for the selected side
Expected corners10.0Άνω 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketΕπιλογήΠιθανότηταΔίκαιη απόδοση
43% / 26% / 31%Αποτέλεσμα αγώναΝίκη γηπεδούχου43%2.33
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (26.4%)Διπλή Ευκαιρία1273.6%1.36
Άνω 48% · Κάτω 52%Goals 2.5Κάτω52%1.92
Ναι 53% · Όχι 47%Σκοράρουν και οι δύοΝαι53%1.89
2.60 total expected goalsΑκριβές σκορ1–1
10.0 expected match cornersΚόρνερΆνω 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin5.5%Largest probability gapΆστον Βίλα winDifference+0.4 pp
OutcomeΠρόβλεψηΔίκαιη απόδοσηReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Μπράιτον win43%2.332.2043.1%-0.1 pp
Ισοπαλία26%3.853.6026.3%-0.3 pp
Άστον Βίλα win31%3.233.1030.6%+0.4 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Μπράιτον1.44

Γηπεδούχος share of expected goals 55.4%

Total expected goals2.60Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Άνω 48% · Κάτω 52%

Άστον Βίλα1.16

Φιλοξενούμενος share of expected goals 44.6%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitΝαι 53% · Όχι 47%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Γηπεδούχος-context · form sequence

Μπράιτον

1.20pts / match
Αγώνες5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Πόντοι6

SignalΓηπεδούχος matches over 2.5: 4/5

Φιλοξενούμενος-context · form sequence

Άστον Βίλα

1.40pts / match
Αγώνες5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Πόντοι7

SignalΓηπεδούχος clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
43%
Νίκη probability excluding draw
31%
6
Points from supplied form
7
1.44
Expected goals
1.16
ΜπράιτονΆστον Βίλα
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Μπράιτον signalΓηπεδούχος matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Άστον Βίλα signalΓηπεδούχος clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk57% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ισοπαλία probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Μπράιτον vs Άστον Βίλα FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Νίκη γηπεδούχου · Projected score 1–1 · 43% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Μπράιτον νίκη 43%,Ισοπαλία 26%,Άστον Βίλα νίκη 31%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.60 · Άνω 2.5 48% · Current selection Κάτω