Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
43% / 26% / 31%WedstrijdresultaatThuiswinst43%2.33
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (26.4%)Dubbele Kans1273.6%1.36
Boven 48% · Onder 52%Goals 2.5Onder52%1.92
Ja 53% · Nee 47%Beide teams scorenJa53%1.89
2.60 total expected goalsExacte score1–1——
10.0 expected match cornersHoekschoppenBoven 9.5——
Price comparison
Published forecast vs reference market
Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.
Displayed margin5.5%Largest probability gapAston Villa winDifference+0.4 pp
OutcomeVoorspellingEerlijke oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Brighton win43%2.332.2043.1%-0.1 pp
Gelijkspel26%3.853.6026.3%-0.3 pp
Aston Villa win31%3.233.1030.6%+0.4 pp
Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Thuis share of expected goals 55.4%
Total expected goals2.60Balanced
Dedicated goals model: Boven 48% · Onder 52%
Uit share of expected goals 44.6%
Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 53% · Nee 47%Match profileBalanced
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Thuis-context · form sequence
1.20pts / matchBrighton
LLWLW
Gespeeld5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Punten6
SignalThuis matches over 2.5: 4/5
Uit-context · form sequence
1.40pts / matchAston Villa
WWDLL
Gespeeld5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Punten7
SignalThuis clean sheets: 2/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
43%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
31%6
Points from supplied form
71.44
Expected goals
1.16BrightonAston Villa
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Model and market agree on HOME
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 26%.
Match questions
Brighton vs Aston Villa FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Thuiswinst · Projected score 1–1 · 43% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Brighton gewonnen 43%，Gelijkspel 26%，Aston Villa gewonnen 31%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 2.60 · Boven 2.5 48% · Current selection Onder。