MatchFormula Znajdź mecz
Menu
UTC+8
Strefa czasowaAsia/Shanghai
Polski
ENG Anglia - Premier League · Round 1 ·

Brighton vs Aston Villa

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Gospodarze form
Projected score1–12.60 expected goals
Goście form
Wygrana gospodarzy43%
Remis26%
Wygrana gości31%
Full model forecastWygrana gospodarzyTier A · 43% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callWygrana gospodarzy43% selection probability
Projected score1–1BrightonAston Villa
Expected goals2.60Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Poniżej52% for the selected side
Obie drużyny strzeląTak53% for the selected side
Expected corners10.0Powyżej 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketWybórPrawdopodobieństwoUczciwy kurs
43% / 26% / 31%Wynik meczuWygrana gospodarzy43%2.33
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (26.4%)Podwójna szansa1273.6%1.36
Powyżej 48% · Poniżej 52%Goals 2.5Poniżej52%1.92
Tak 53% · Nie 47%Obie drużyny strzeląTak53%1.89
2.60 total expected goalsDokładny wynik1–1
10.0 expected match cornersRożnePowyżej 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin5.5%Largest probability gapAston Villa winDifference+0.4 pp
OutcomePrognozaUczciwy kursReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Brighton win43%2.332.2043.1%-0.1 pp
Remis26%3.853.6026.3%-0.3 pp
Aston Villa win31%3.233.1030.6%+0.4 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Brighton1.44

Gospodarze share of expected goals 55.4%

Total expected goals2.60Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Powyżej 48% · Poniżej 52%

Aston Villa1.16

Goście share of expected goals 44.6%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitTak 53% · Nie 47%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gospodarze-context · form sequence

Brighton

1.20pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Punkty6

SignalGospodarze matches over 2.5: 4/5

Goście-context · form sequence

Aston Villa

1.40pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Punkty7

SignalGospodarze clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
43%
Wygrana probability excluding draw
31%
6
Points from supplied form
7
1.44
Expected goals
1.16
BrightonAston Villa
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Brighton signalGospodarze matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Aston Villa signalGospodarze clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk57% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remis probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Brighton vs Aston Villa FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Wygrana gospodarzy · Projected score 1–1 · 43% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Brighton wygrana 43%,Remis 26%,Aston Villa wygrana 31%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.60 · Powyżej 2.5 48% · Current selection Poniżej