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ENG Англия - Премьер-лига · Round 1 ·

Ман Сити vs Борнмут

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Хозяева form
Projected score2–13.20 expected goals
Гости form
Победа хозяев56%
Ничья24%
Победа гостей20%
Full model forecastПобеда хозяевTier A · 56% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда хозяев56% selection probability
Projected score2–1Ман СитиБорнмут
Expected goals3.20Открытие match profile
Goals 2.5Больше62% for the selected side
Обе забьютДа55% for the selected side
Expected corners10.8Больше 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketВыборВероятностьСправедливый коэффициент
56% / 24% / 20%Исход матчаПобеда хозяев56%1.79
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Борнмут win (19.6%)Двойной шанс1X80.4%1.24
Больше 62% · Меньше 38%Goals 2.5Больше62%1.61
Да 55% · Нет 45%Обе забьютДа55%1.82
3.20 total expected goalsТочный счёт2–1
10.8 expected match cornersУгловыеБольше 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Нет snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityСправедливый коэффициент
Ман Сити win56%1.79
Ничья24%4.17
Борнмут win20%5.00

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Ман Сити2.25

Хозяева share of expected goals 70.3%

Total expected goals3.20Открытие

Dedicated goals model: Больше 62% · Меньше 38%

Борнмут0.95

Гости share of expected goals 29.7%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitДа 55% · Нет 45%Match profileОткрытие
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Хозяева-context · form sequence

Ман Сити

1.60pts / match
Сыграно5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Баллы8

SignalХозяева unbeaten 4/5

Гости-context · form sequence

Борнмут

1.80pts / match
Сыграно5Wins2Drawn3Losses0Баллы9

SignalХозяева matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
56%
Выигрыш probability excluding draw
20%
8
Points from supplied form
9
2.25
Expected goals
0.95
Ман СитиБорнмут
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Ман Сити signalХозяева unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Борнмут signalХозяева matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk44% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ничья probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

Ман Сити vs Борнмут FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа хозяев · Projected score 2–1 · 56% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Ман Сити выигрыш 56%,Ничья 24%,Борнмут выигрыш 20%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.20 · ТБ 2.5 62% · Current selection Больше