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FIN Finland Veikkausliiga · Матч ·

FC Ilves vs ИФК Мариехамн

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Хозяева form
Projected score3–14.19 expected goals
Гости form
Победа хозяев71%
Ничья17%
Победа гостей12%
Full model forecastПобеда хозяевTier A · 71% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда хозяев71% selection probability
Projected score3–1FC IlvesИФК Мариехамн
Expected goals4.19Открытие match profile
Goals 2.5Больше79% for the selected side
Обе забьютДа56% for the selected side
Expected corners10.3Больше 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketВыборВероятностьСправедливый коэффициент
71% / 17% / 12%Исход матчаПобеда хозяев71%1.41
Derived from 1X2 · excludes ИФК Мариехамн win (11.8%)Двойной шанс1X88.2%1.13
Больше 79% · Меньше 21%Goals 2.5Больше79%1.27
Да 56% · Нет 44%Обе забьютДа56%1.79
4.19 total expected goalsТочный счёт3–1
10.3 expected match cornersУгловыеБольше 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Нет snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityСправедливый коэффициент
FC Ilves win71%1.41
Ничья17%5.88
ИФК Мариехамн win12%8.33

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

FC Ilves3.32

Хозяева share of expected goals 79.2%

Total expected goals4.19Открытие

Dedicated goals model: Больше 79% · Меньше 21%

ИФК Мариехамн0.87

Гости share of expected goals 20.8%

Projected score3–1BTTS splitДа 56% · Нет 44%Match profileОткрытие
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Хозяева-context · form sequence

FC Ilves

1.20pts / match
Сыграно5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Баллы6

SignalХозяева matches under 2.5: 5/5

Гости-context · form sequence

ИФК Мариехамн

0.20pts / match
Сыграно5Wins0Drawn1Losses4Баллы1

SignalХозяева clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
71%
Выигрыш probability excluding draw
12%
6
Points from supplied form
1
3.32
Expected goals
0.87
FC IlvesИФК Мариехамн
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01FC Ilves signalХозяева matches under 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02ИФК Мариехамн signalХозяева clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk29% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ничья probability alone is 17%.

Match questions

FC Ilves vs ИФК Мариехамн FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа хозяев · Projected score 3–1 · 71% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

FC Ilves выигрыш 71%,Ничья 17%,ИФК Мариехамн выигрыш 12%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 4.19 · ТБ 2.5 79% · Current selection Больше