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FIN Finland Veikkausliiga · Trận đấu ·

FC Ilves vs IFK Mariehamn

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Chủ nhà form
Projected score3–14.16 expected goals
Khách form
Chủ nhà thắng71%
Hòa17%
Đội khách thắng12%
Full model forecastChủ nhà thắngTier A · 71% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callChủ nhà thắng71% selection probability
Projected score3–1FC IlvesIFK Mariehamn
Expected goals4.16Mở match profile
Goals 2.5Tài79% for the selected side
Cả hai đội ghi bàn56% for the selected side
Expected corners10.3Tài 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketLựa chọnXác suấtTỷ lệ công bằng
71% / 17% / 12%Kết quả trận đấuChủ nhà thắng71%1.41
Derived from 1X2 · excludes IFK Mariehamn win (12.3%)Cơ hội kép1X87.7%1.14
Tài 79% · Xỉu 21%Goals 2.5Tài79%1.27
Có 56% · Không 44%Cả hai đội ghi bàn56%1.79
4.16 total expected goalsTỷ số chính xác3–1
10.3 expected match cornersPhạt gócTài 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin10.3%Largest probability gapFC Ilves winDifference+1.2 pp
OutcomeDự đoánTỷ lệ công bằngReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
FC Ilves win71%1.411.3069.8%+1.2 pp
Hòa17%5.885.2517.3%-0.3 pp
IFK Mariehamn win12%8.337.0013%-1.0 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

FC Ilves3.29

Chủ nhà share of expected goals 79.1%

Total expected goals4.16Mở

Dedicated goals model: Tài 79% · Xỉu 21%

IFK Mariehamn0.87

Khách share of expected goals 20.9%

Projected score3–1BTTS split 56% · Không 44%Match profileMở
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Chủ nhà-context · form sequence

FC Ilves

1.20pts / match
Số trận5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Điểm6

SignalChủ nhà matches under 2.5: 5/5

Khách-context · form sequence

IFK Mariehamn

0.20pts / match
Số trận5Wins0Drawn1Losses4Điểm1

SignalChủ nhà clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
71%
Thắng probability excluding draw
12%
6
Points from supplied form
1
3.29
Expected goals
0.87
FC IlvesIFK Mariehamn
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01FC Ilves signalChủ nhà matches under 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02IFK Mariehamn signalChủ nhà clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk29% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Hòa probability alone is 17%.

Match questions

FC Ilves vs IFK Mariehamn FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Chủ nhà thắng · Projected score 3–1 · 71% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

FC Ilves thắng 71%,Hòa 17%,IFK Mariehamn thắng 12%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 4.16 · Tài 2.5 79% · Current selection Tài