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FIN Finland Veikkausliiga · Mecz ·

FC Ilves vs IFK Mariehamn

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Gospodarze form
Projected score3–14.16 expected goals
Goście form
Wygrana gospodarzy71%
Remis17%
Wygrana gości12%
Full model forecastWygrana gospodarzyTier A · 71% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callWygrana gospodarzy71% selection probability
Projected score3–1FC IlvesIFK Mariehamn
Expected goals4.16Otwarcie match profile
Goals 2.5Powyżej79% for the selected side
Obie drużyny strzeląTak56% for the selected side
Expected corners10.3Powyżej 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketWybórPrawdopodobieństwoUczciwy kurs
71% / 17% / 12%Wynik meczuWygrana gospodarzy71%1.41
Derived from 1X2 · excludes IFK Mariehamn win (12.3%)Podwójna szansa1X87.7%1.14
Powyżej 79% · Poniżej 21%Goals 2.5Powyżej79%1.27
Tak 56% · Nie 44%Obie drużyny strzeląTak56%1.79
4.16 total expected goalsDokładny wynik3–1
10.3 expected match cornersRożnePowyżej 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin10.3%Largest probability gapFC Ilves winDifference+1.2 pp
OutcomePrognozaUczciwy kursReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
FC Ilves win71%1.411.3069.8%+1.2 pp
Remis17%5.885.2517.3%-0.3 pp
IFK Mariehamn win12%8.337.0013%-1.0 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

FC Ilves3.29

Gospodarze share of expected goals 79.1%

Total expected goals4.16Otwarcie

Dedicated goals model: Powyżej 79% · Poniżej 21%

IFK Mariehamn0.87

Goście share of expected goals 20.9%

Projected score3–1BTTS splitTak 56% · Nie 44%Match profileOtwarcie
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gospodarze-context · form sequence

FC Ilves

1.20pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Punkty6

SignalGospodarze matches under 2.5: 5/5

Goście-context · form sequence

IFK Mariehamn

0.20pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins0Drawn1Losses4Punkty1

SignalGospodarze clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
71%
Wygrana probability excluding draw
12%
6
Points from supplied form
1
3.29
Expected goals
0.87
FC IlvesIFK Mariehamn
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01FC Ilves signalGospodarze matches under 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02IFK Mariehamn signalGospodarze clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk29% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remis probability alone is 17%.

Match questions

FC Ilves vs IFK Mariehamn FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Wygrana gospodarzy · Projected score 3–1 · 71% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

FC Ilves wygrana 71%,Remis 17%,IFK Mariehamn wygrana 12%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 4.16 · Powyżej 2.5 79% · Current selection Powyżej