Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
71% / 17% / 12%WedstrijdresultaatThuiswinst71%1.41
Derived from 1X2 · excludes IFK Mariehamn win (11.8%)Dubbele Kans1X88.2%1.13
Boven 79% · Onder 21%Goals 2.5Boven79%1.27
Ja 56% · Nee 44%Beide teams scorenJa56%1.79
4.19 total expected goalsExacte score3–1——
10.3 expected match cornersHoekschoppenBoven 9.5——
Probability view
Forecast probabilities and fair odds
Nee snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.
OutcomeForecast probabilityEerlijke odds
FC Ilves win71%1.41
Gelijkspel17%5.88
IFK Mariehamn win12%8.33
Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Thuis share of expected goals 79.2%
Total expected goals4.19Openen
Dedicated goals model: Boven 79% · Onder 21%
Uit share of expected goals 20.8%
Projected score3–1BTTS splitJa 56% · Nee 44%Match profileOpenen
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Thuis-context · form sequence
1.20pts / matchFC Ilves
LLWWL
Gespeeld5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Punten6
SignalThuis matches under 2.5: 5/5
Uit-context · form sequence
0.20pts / matchIFK Mariehamn
LDLLL
Gespeeld5Wins0Drawn1Losses4Punten1
SignalThuis clean sheets: 2/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
71%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
12%6
Points from supplied form
13.32
Expected goals
0.87FC IlvesIFK Mariehamn
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 17%.
Match questions
FC Ilves vs IFK Mariehamn FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Thuiswinst · Projected score 3–1 · 71% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
FC Ilves gewonnen 71%，Gelijkspel 17%，IFK Mariehamn gewonnen 12%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 4.19 · Boven 2.5 79% · Current selection Boven。