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UTC+8
IdőzónaAsia/Shanghai
Magyar
FIN Finland Veikkausliiga · Mérkőzés ·

FC Ilves vs IFK Mariehamn

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hazai form
Projected score3–14.16 expected goals
Vendég form
Hazai győzelem71%
Döntetlen17%
Vendég győzelem12%
Full model forecastHazai győzelemTier A · 71% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHazai győzelem71% selection probability
Projected score3–1FC IlvesIFK Mariehamn
Expected goals4.16Nyitó match profile
Goals 2.5Felett79% for the selected side
Mindkét csapat szerez góltIgen56% for the selected side
Expected corners10.3Felett 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketVálasztásValószínűségValós odds
71% / 17% / 12%Mérkőzés eredményeHazai győzelem71%1.41
Derived from 1X2 · excludes IFK Mariehamn win (12.3%)Dupla esély1X87.7%1.14
Felett 79% · Alatt 21%Goals 2.5Felett79%1.27
Igen 56% · Nem 44%Mindkét csapat szerez góltIgen56%1.79
4.16 total expected goalsPontos eredmény3–1
10.3 expected match cornersSzögletekFelett 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin10.3%Largest probability gapFC Ilves winDifference+1.2 pp
OutcomeElőrejelzésValós oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
FC Ilves win71%1.411.3069.8%+1.2 pp
Döntetlen17%5.885.2517.3%-0.3 pp
IFK Mariehamn win12%8.337.0013%-1.0 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

FC Ilves3.29

Hazai share of expected goals 79.1%

Total expected goals4.16Nyitó

Dedicated goals model: Felett 79% · Alatt 21%

IFK Mariehamn0.87

Vendég share of expected goals 20.9%

Projected score3–1BTTS splitIgen 56% · Nem 44%Match profileNyitó
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hazai-context · form sequence

FC Ilves

1.20pts / match
Lejátszott5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Pontok6

SignalHazai matches under 2.5: 5/5

Vendég-context · form sequence

IFK Mariehamn

0.20pts / match
Lejátszott5Wins0Drawn1Losses4Pontok1

SignalHazai clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
71%
Nyert probability excluding draw
12%
6
Points from supplied form
1
3.29
Expected goals
0.87
FC IlvesIFK Mariehamn
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01FC Ilves signalHazai matches under 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02IFK Mariehamn signalHazai clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk29% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Döntetlen probability alone is 17%.

Match questions

FC Ilves vs IFK Mariehamn FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hazai győzelem · Projected score 3–1 · 71% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

FC Ilves nyer 71%,Döntetlen 17%,IFK Mariehamn nyer 12%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 4.16 · 2.5 felett 79% · Current selection Felett