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FIN Finland Veikkausliiga · Zápas ·

FC Ilves vs IFK Mariehamn

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domáci form
Projected score3–14.16 expected goals
Hostia form
Výhra domácich71%
Remíza17%
Výhra hostí12%
Full model forecastVýhra domácichTier A · 71% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVýhra domácich71% selection probability
Projected score3–1FC IlvesIFK Mariehamn
Expected goals4.16Otvoriť match profile
Goals 2.5Viac79% for the selected side
Oba tímy skórujúÁno56% for the selected side
Expected corners10.3Viac 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketVýberPravdepodobnosťFérový kurz
71% / 17% / 12%Výsledok zápasuVýhra domácich71%1.41
Derived from 1X2 · excludes IFK Mariehamn win (12.3%)Dvojitá šanca1X87.7%1.14
Viac 79% · Menej 21%Goals 2.5Viac79%1.27
Áno 56% · Nie 44%Oba tímy skórujúÁno56%1.79
4.16 total expected goalsPresné skóre3–1
10.3 expected match cornersRohyViac 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin10.3%Largest probability gapFC Ilves winDifference+1.2 pp
OutcomePredpoveďFérový kurzReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
FC Ilves win71%1.411.3069.8%+1.2 pp
Remíza17%5.885.2517.3%-0.3 pp
IFK Mariehamn win12%8.337.0013%-1.0 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

FC Ilves3.29

Domáci share of expected goals 79.1%

Total expected goals4.16Otvoriť

Dedicated goals model: Viac 79% · Menej 21%

IFK Mariehamn0.87

Hostia share of expected goals 20.9%

Projected score3–1BTTS splitÁno 56% · Nie 44%Match profileOtvoriť
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domáci-context · form sequence

FC Ilves

1.20pts / match
Odohrané5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Body6

SignalDomáci matches under 2.5: 5/5

Hostia-context · form sequence

IFK Mariehamn

0.20pts / match
Odohrané5Wins0Drawn1Losses4Body1

SignalDomáci clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
71%
Výhra probability excluding draw
12%
6
Points from supplied form
1
3.29
Expected goals
0.87
FC IlvesIFK Mariehamn
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01FC Ilves signalDomáci matches under 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02IFK Mariehamn signalDomáci clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk29% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remíza probability alone is 17%.

Match questions

FC Ilves vs IFK Mariehamn FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Výhra domácich · Projected score 3–1 · 71% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

FC Ilves výhra 71%,Remíza 17%,IFK Mariehamn výhra 12%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 4.16 · Viac 2.5 79% · Current selection Viac