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FIN Finland Veikkausliiga · Maç ·

FC Ilves vs IFK Mariehamn

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Ev Sahibi form
Projected score3–14.16 expected goals
Deplasman form
Ev sahibi kazanır71%
Beraberlik17%
Deplasman kazanır12%
Full model forecastEv sahibi kazanırTier A · 71% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callEv sahibi kazanır71% selection probability
Projected score3–1FC IlvesIFK Mariehamn
Expected goals4.16Açılış match profile
Goals 2.5Üst79% for the selected side
Karşılıklı gol varEvet56% for the selected side
Expected corners10.3Üst 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSeçimOlasılıkAdil oran
71% / 17% / 12%Maç sonucuEv sahibi kazanır71%1.41
Derived from 1X2 · excludes IFK Mariehamn win (12.3%)Çifte Şans1X87.7%1.14
Üst 79% · Alt 21%Goals 2.5Üst79%1.27
Evet 56% · Hayır 44%Karşılıklı gol varEvet56%1.79
4.16 total expected goalsDoğru skor3–1
10.3 expected match cornersKornerlerÜst 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin10.3%Largest probability gapFC Ilves winDifference+1.2 pp
OutcomeTahminAdil oranReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
FC Ilves win71%1.411.3069.8%+1.2 pp
Beraberlik17%5.885.2517.3%-0.3 pp
IFK Mariehamn win12%8.337.0013%-1.0 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

FC Ilves3.29

Ev Sahibi share of expected goals 79.1%

Total expected goals4.16Açılış

Dedicated goals model: Üst 79% · Alt 21%

IFK Mariehamn0.87

Deplasman share of expected goals 20.9%

Projected score3–1BTTS splitEvet 56% · Hayır 44%Match profileAçılış
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Ev Sahibi-context · form sequence

FC Ilves

1.20pts / match
Oynanan5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Puan6

SignalEv Sahibi matches under 2.5: 5/5

Deplasman-context · form sequence

IFK Mariehamn

0.20pts / match
Oynanan5Wins0Drawn1Losses4Puan1

SignalEv Sahibi clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
71%
Kazanç probability excluding draw
12%
6
Points from supplied form
1
3.29
Expected goals
0.87
FC IlvesIFK Mariehamn
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01FC Ilves signalEv Sahibi matches under 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02IFK Mariehamn signalEv Sahibi clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk29% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Beraberlik probability alone is 17%.

Match questions

FC Ilves vs IFK Mariehamn FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Ev sahibi kazanır · Projected score 3–1 · 71% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

FC Ilves kazanç 71%,Beraberlik 17%,IFK Mariehamn kazanç 12%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 4.16 · 2.5 Üst 79% · Current selection Üst