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FIN Finland Veikkausliiga · Мач ·

FC Ilves vs Мариехам

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Домакин form
Projected score3–14.16 expected goals
Гост form
Победа за домакина71%
Равен17%
Победа за госта12%
Full model forecastПобеда за домакинаTier A · 71% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда за домакина71% selection probability
Projected score3–1FC IlvesМариехам
Expected goals4.16Откриване match profile
Goals 2.5Над79% for the selected side
И двата отбора да отбележатДа56% for the selected side
Expected corners10.3Над 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketИзборВероятностСправедлив коефициент
71% / 17% / 12%Резултат от мачаПобеда за домакина71%1.41
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Мариехам win (12.3%)Двоен шанс1X87.7%1.14
Над 79% · Под 21%Goals 2.5Над79%1.27
Да 56% · Не 44%И двата отбора да отбележатДа56%1.79
4.16 total expected goalsТочен резултат3–1
10.3 expected match cornersКорнериНад 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin10.3%Largest probability gapFC Ilves winDifference+1.2 pp
OutcomeПрогнозаСправедлив коефициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
FC Ilves win71%1.411.3069.8%+1.2 pp
Равен17%5.885.2517.3%-0.3 pp
Мариехам win12%8.337.0013%-1.0 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

FC Ilves3.29

Домакин share of expected goals 79.1%

Total expected goals4.16Откриване

Dedicated goals model: Над 79% · Под 21%

Мариехам0.87

Гост share of expected goals 20.9%

Projected score3–1BTTS splitДа 56% · Не 44%Match profileОткриване
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Домакин-context · form sequence

FC Ilves

1.20pts / match
Изиграни5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Точки6

SignalДомакин matches under 2.5: 5/5

Гост-context · form sequence

Мариехам

0.20pts / match
Изиграни5Wins0Drawn1Losses4Точки1

SignalДомакин clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
71%
Печеливш probability excluding draw
12%
6
Points from supplied form
1
3.29
Expected goals
0.87
FC IlvesМариехам
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01FC Ilves signalДомакин matches under 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Мариехам signalДомакин clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk29% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Равен probability alone is 17%.

Match questions

FC Ilves vs Мариехам FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа за домакина · Projected score 3–1 · 71% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

FC Ilves печеливш 71%,Равен 17%,Мариехам печеливш 12%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 4.16 · Над 2.5 79% · Current selection Над