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JPN Япония - Джей-лига · Round 1 ·

Сересо Осака vs Фаджиано Окаяма

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Хозяева form
Projected score2–13.01 expected goals
Гости form
Победа хозяев50%
Ничья27%
Победа гостей24%
Full model forecastПобеда хозяевTier A · 50% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда хозяев50% selection probability
Projected score2–1Сересо ОсакаФаджиано Окаяма
Expected goals3.01Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Больше58% for the selected side
Обе забьютДа58% for the selected side
Expected corners9.9Больше 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketВыборВероятностьСправедливый коэффициент
50% / 27% / 24%Исход матчаПобеда хозяев50%2.00
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Фаджиано Окаяма win (23.5%)Двойной шанс1X76.5%1.31
Больше 58% · Меньше 42%Goals 2.5Больше58%1.72
Да 58% · Нет 42%Обе забьютДа58%1.72
3.01 total expected goalsТочный счёт2–1
9.9 expected match cornersУгловыеБольше 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin6.2%Largest probability gapФаджиано Окаяма winDifference+0.5 pp
OutcomeПрогнозСправедливый коэффициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Сересо Осака win50%2.001.9049.6%+0.4 pp
Ничья27%3.703.5026.9%+0.1 pp
Фаджиано Окаяма win24%4.174.0023.5%+0.5 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Сересо Осака1.85

Хозяева share of expected goals 61.5%

Total expected goals3.01Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Больше 58% · Меньше 42%

Фаджиано Окаяма1.16

Гости share of expected goals 38.5%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitДа 58% · Нет 42%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Хозяева-context · form sequence

Сересо Осака

2.60pts / match
Сыграно5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Баллы13

SignalХозяева unbeaten 5/5

Гости-context · form sequence

Фаджиано Окаяма

0.60pts / match
Сыграно5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Баллы3

SignalХозяева matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
50%
Выигрыш probability excluding draw
24%
13
Points from supplied form
3
1.85
Expected goals
1.16
Сересо ОсакаФаджиано Окаяма
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Сересо Осака signalХозяева unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Фаджиано Окаяма signalХозяева matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk50% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ничья probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

Сересо Осака vs Фаджиано Окаяма FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа хозяев · Projected score 2–1 · 50% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Сересо Осака выигрыш 50%,Ничья 27%,Фаджиано Окаяма выигрыш 24%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.01 · ТБ 2.5 58% · Current selection Больше