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JPN Japão - J-League · Round 1 ·

Cerezo Osaka vs Fagiano Okayama

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Mandante form
Projected score2–13.01 expected goals
Visitante form
Vitória da casa50%
Empate27%
Vitória visitante24%
Full model forecastVitória da casaTier A · 50% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVitória da casa50% selection probability
Projected score2–1Cerezo OsakaFagiano Okayama
Expected goals3.01Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Acima58% for the selected side
Ambas as equipes marcamSim58% for the selected side
Expected corners9.9Acima 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSeleçãoProbabilidadeOdds justas
50% / 27% / 24%Resultado da partidaVitória da casa50%2.00
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Fagiano Okayama win (23.5%)Dupla Chance1X76.5%1.31
Acima 58% · Abaixo 42%Goals 2.5Acima58%1.72
Sim 58% · Não 42%Ambas as equipes marcamSim58%1.72
3.01 total expected goalsPlacar exato2–1
9.9 expected match cornersEscanteiosAcima 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin6.2%Largest probability gapFagiano Okayama winDifference+0.5 pp
OutcomePrevisãoOdds justasReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Cerezo Osaka win50%2.001.9049.6%+0.4 pp
Empate27%3.703.5026.9%+0.1 pp
Fagiano Okayama win24%4.174.0023.5%+0.5 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Cerezo Osaka1.85

Mandante share of expected goals 61.5%

Total expected goals3.01Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Acima 58% · Abaixo 42%

Fagiano Okayama1.16

Visitante share of expected goals 38.5%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitSim 58% · Não 42%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Mandante-context · form sequence

Cerezo Osaka

2.60pts / match
Jogos5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Pontos13

SignalMandante unbeaten 5/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

Fagiano Okayama

0.60pts / match
Jogos5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Pontos3

SignalMandante matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
50%
Ganhou probability excluding draw
24%
13
Points from supplied form
3
1.85
Expected goals
1.16
Cerezo OsakaFagiano Okayama
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Cerezo Osaka signalMandante unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Fagiano Okayama signalMandante matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk50% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

Cerezo Osaka vs Fagiano Okayama FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vitória da casa · Projected score 2–1 · 50% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Cerezo Osaka ganhou 50%,Empate 27%,Fagiano Okayama ganhou 24%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.01 · Acima 2.5 58% · Current selection Acima