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JPN Ιαπωνία - J-League · Round 1 ·

Σερέζο Οζάκα vs Φαγκιάνο Οκαγιάμα

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Γηπεδούχος form
Projected score2–13.01 expected goals
Φιλοξενούμενος form
Νίκη γηπεδούχου50%
Ισοπαλία27%
Νίκη φιλοξενούμενου24%
Full model forecastΝίκη γηπεδούχουTier A · 50% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callΝίκη γηπεδούχου50% selection probability
Projected score2–1Σερέζο ΟζάκαΦαγκιάνο Οκαγιάμα
Expected goals3.01Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Άνω58% for the selected side
Σκοράρουν και οι δύοΝαι58% for the selected side
Expected corners9.9Άνω 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketΕπιλογήΠιθανότηταΔίκαιη απόδοση
50% / 27% / 24%Αποτέλεσμα αγώναΝίκη γηπεδούχου50%2.00
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Φαγκιάνο Οκαγιάμα win (23.5%)Διπλή Ευκαιρία1X76.5%1.31
Άνω 58% · Κάτω 42%Goals 2.5Άνω58%1.72
Ναι 58% · Όχι 42%Σκοράρουν και οι δύοΝαι58%1.72
3.01 total expected goalsΑκριβές σκορ2–1
9.9 expected match cornersΚόρνερΆνω 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin6.2%Largest probability gapΦαγκιάνο Οκαγιάμα winDifference+0.5 pp
OutcomeΠρόβλεψηΔίκαιη απόδοσηReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Σερέζο Οζάκα win50%2.001.9049.6%+0.4 pp
Ισοπαλία27%3.703.5026.9%+0.1 pp
Φαγκιάνο Οκαγιάμα win24%4.174.0023.5%+0.5 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Σερέζο Οζάκα1.85

Γηπεδούχος share of expected goals 61.5%

Total expected goals3.01Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Άνω 58% · Κάτω 42%

Φαγκιάνο Οκαγιάμα1.16

Φιλοξενούμενος share of expected goals 38.5%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitΝαι 58% · Όχι 42%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Γηπεδούχος-context · form sequence

Σερέζο Οζάκα

2.60pts / match
Αγώνες5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Πόντοι13

SignalΓηπεδούχος unbeaten 5/5

Φιλοξενούμενος-context · form sequence

Φαγκιάνο Οκαγιάμα

0.60pts / match
Αγώνες5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Πόντοι3

SignalΓηπεδούχος matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
50%
Νίκη probability excluding draw
24%
13
Points from supplied form
3
1.85
Expected goals
1.16
Σερέζο ΟζάκαΦαγκιάνο Οκαγιάμα
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Σερέζο Οζάκα signalΓηπεδούχος unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Φαγκιάνο Οκαγιάμα signalΓηπεδούχος matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk50% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ισοπαλία probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

Σερέζο Οζάκα vs Φαγκιάνο Οκαγιάμα FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Νίκη γηπεδούχου · Projected score 2–1 · 50% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Σερέζο Οζάκα νίκη 50%,Ισοπαλία 27%,Φαγκιάνο Οκαγιάμα νίκη 24%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.01 · Άνω 2.5 58% · Current selection Άνω