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JPN Japonsko - J-League · Round 1 ·

Cerezo Osaka vs Fagiano Okayama

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domáci form
Projected score2–13.01 expected goals
Hostia form
Výhra domácich50%
Remíza27%
Výhra hostí24%
Full model forecastVýhra domácichTier A · 50% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVýhra domácich50% selection probability
Projected score2–1Cerezo OsakaFagiano Okayama
Expected goals3.01Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Viac58% for the selected side
Oba tímy skórujúÁno58% for the selected side
Expected corners9.9Viac 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketVýberPravdepodobnosťFérový kurz
50% / 27% / 24%Výsledok zápasuVýhra domácich50%2.00
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Fagiano Okayama win (23.5%)Dvojitá šanca1X76.5%1.31
Viac 58% · Menej 42%Goals 2.5Viac58%1.72
Áno 58% · Nie 42%Oba tímy skórujúÁno58%1.72
3.01 total expected goalsPresné skóre2–1
9.9 expected match cornersRohyViac 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin6.2%Largest probability gapFagiano Okayama winDifference+0.5 pp
OutcomePredpoveďFérový kurzReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Cerezo Osaka win50%2.001.9049.6%+0.4 pp
Remíza27%3.703.5026.9%+0.1 pp
Fagiano Okayama win24%4.174.0023.5%+0.5 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Cerezo Osaka1.85

Domáci share of expected goals 61.5%

Total expected goals3.01Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Viac 58% · Menej 42%

Fagiano Okayama1.16

Hostia share of expected goals 38.5%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitÁno 58% · Nie 42%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domáci-context · form sequence

Cerezo Osaka

2.60pts / match
Odohrané5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Body13

SignalDomáci unbeaten 5/5

Hostia-context · form sequence

Fagiano Okayama

0.60pts / match
Odohrané5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Body3

SignalDomáci matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
50%
Výhra probability excluding draw
24%
13
Points from supplied form
3
1.85
Expected goals
1.16
Cerezo OsakaFagiano Okayama
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Cerezo Osaka signalDomáci unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Fagiano Okayama signalDomáci matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk50% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remíza probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

Cerezo Osaka vs Fagiano Okayama FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Výhra domácich · Projected score 2–1 · 50% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Cerezo Osaka výhra 50%,Remíza 27%,Fagiano Okayama výhra 24%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.01 · Viac 2.5 58% · Current selection Viac