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JPN Japán - J-League · Round 1 ·

Cerezo Osaka vs Fagiano Okayama

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hazai form
Projected score2–13.01 expected goals
Vendég form
Hazai győzelem50%
Döntetlen27%
Vendég győzelem24%
Full model forecastHazai győzelemTier A · 50% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHazai győzelem50% selection probability
Projected score2–1Cerezo OsakaFagiano Okayama
Expected goals3.01Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Felett58% for the selected side
Mindkét csapat szerez góltIgen58% for the selected side
Expected corners9.9Felett 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketVálasztásValószínűségValós odds
50% / 27% / 24%Mérkőzés eredményeHazai győzelem50%2.00
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Fagiano Okayama win (23.5%)Dupla esély1X76.5%1.31
Felett 58% · Alatt 42%Goals 2.5Felett58%1.72
Igen 58% · Nem 42%Mindkét csapat szerez góltIgen58%1.72
3.01 total expected goalsPontos eredmény2–1
9.9 expected match cornersSzögletekFelett 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin6.2%Largest probability gapFagiano Okayama winDifference+0.5 pp
OutcomeElőrejelzésValós oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Cerezo Osaka win50%2.001.9049.6%+0.4 pp
Döntetlen27%3.703.5026.9%+0.1 pp
Fagiano Okayama win24%4.174.0023.5%+0.5 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Cerezo Osaka1.85

Hazai share of expected goals 61.5%

Total expected goals3.01Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Felett 58% · Alatt 42%

Fagiano Okayama1.16

Vendég share of expected goals 38.5%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitIgen 58% · Nem 42%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hazai-context · form sequence

Cerezo Osaka

2.60pts / match
Lejátszott5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Pontok13

SignalHazai unbeaten 5/5

Vendég-context · form sequence

Fagiano Okayama

0.60pts / match
Lejátszott5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Pontok3

SignalHazai matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
50%
Nyert probability excluding draw
24%
13
Points from supplied form
3
1.85
Expected goals
1.16
Cerezo OsakaFagiano Okayama
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Cerezo Osaka signalHazai unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Fagiano Okayama signalHazai matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk50% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Döntetlen probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

Cerezo Osaka vs Fagiano Okayama FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hazai győzelem · Projected score 2–1 · 50% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Cerezo Osaka nyer 50%,Döntetlen 27%,Fagiano Okayama nyer 24%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.01 · 2.5 felett 58% · Current selection Felett