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JPN Jaapani J-League · Round 1 ·

Cerezo Osaka vs Fagiano Okayama

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Kodu form
Projected score2–13.01 expected goals
Võõras form
Koduvõit50%
Viik27%
Võõrsilvõit24%
Full model forecastKoduvõitTier A · 50% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callKoduvõit50% selection probability
Projected score2–1Cerezo OsakaFagiano Okayama
Expected goals3.01Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Üle58% for the selected side
Mõlemad meeskonnad löövad väravaJah58% for the selected side
Expected corners9.9Üle 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValikTõenäosusÕiglane koefitsient
50% / 27% / 24%Mängu tulemusKoduvõit50%2.00
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Fagiano Okayama win (23.5%)Topeltvõimalus1X76.5%1.31
Üle 58% · Alla 42%Goals 2.5Üle58%1.72
Jah 58% · Ei 42%Mõlemad meeskonnad löövad väravaJah58%1.72
3.01 total expected goalsTäpne skoor2–1
9.9 expected match cornersNurgalöögidÜle 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin6.2%Largest probability gapFagiano Okayama winDifference+0.5 pp
OutcomeEnnustusÕiglane koefitsientReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Cerezo Osaka win50%2.001.9049.6%+0.4 pp
Viik27%3.703.5026.9%+0.1 pp
Fagiano Okayama win24%4.174.0023.5%+0.5 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Cerezo Osaka1.85

Kodu share of expected goals 61.5%

Total expected goals3.01Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Üle 58% · Alla 42%

Fagiano Okayama1.16

Võõras share of expected goals 38.5%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJah 58% · Ei 42%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Kodu-context · form sequence

Cerezo Osaka

2.60pts / match
Mängitud5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Punktid13

SignalKodu unbeaten 5/5

Võõras-context · form sequence

Fagiano Okayama

0.60pts / match
Mängitud5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Punktid3

SignalKodu matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
50%
Võit probability excluding draw
24%
13
Points from supplied form
3
1.85
Expected goals
1.16
Cerezo OsakaFagiano Okayama
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Cerezo Osaka signalKodu unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Fagiano Okayama signalKodu matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk50% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Viik probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

Cerezo Osaka vs Fagiano Okayama FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Koduvõit · Projected score 2–1 · 50% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Cerezo Osaka võit 50%,Viik 27%,Fagiano Okayama võit 24%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.01 · Üle 2.5 58% · Current selection Üle