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BRA Бразилия - Серия D · Final ·

Насьонал АМ vs ABC

Prediction review

Хозяева form
Final score1–2Прогноз 1–1
Гости form
Победа хозяев36%
Ничья32%
Победа гостей32%
Full model forecastПобеда хозяевTier A · 36% selection probability
Prediction Не угадано
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда хозяев36% selection probability
Projected score1–1Насьонал АМABC
Expected goals1.84Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Меньше72% for the selected side
Обе забьютНет63% for the selected side
Expected corners10.1Больше 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketВыборВероятностьСправедливый коэффициент
36% / 32% / 32%Исход матчаПобеда хозяев36%2.78
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (32%)Двойной шанс1268%1.47
Больше 28% · Меньше 72%Goals 2.5Меньше72%1.39
Да 37% · Нет 63%Обе забьютНет63%1.59
1.84 total expected goalsТочный счёт1–1
10.1 expected match cornersУгловыеБольше 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.1%Largest probability gapABC winDifference-0.4 pp
OutcomeПрогнозСправедливый коэффициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Насьонал АМ win36%2.782.5035.7%+0.3 pp
Ничья32%3.132.8031.9%+0.1 pp
ABC win32%3.132.7532.4%-0.4 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Насьонал АМ0.98

Хозяева share of expected goals 53.3%

Total expected goals1.84Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Больше 28% · Меньше 72%

ABC0.86

Гости share of expected goals 46.7%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitДа 37% · Нет 63%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Хозяева-context · form sequence

Насьонал АМ

1.20pts / match
Сыграно5Wins1Drawn3Losses1Баллы6

SignalХозяева unbeaten 4/5

Гости-context · form sequence

ABC

1.60pts / match
Сыграно5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Баллы8

SignalХозяева matches under 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
36%
Выигрыш probability excluding draw
32%
6
Points from supplied form
8
0.98
Expected goals
0.86
Насьонал АМABC
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Насьонал АМ signalХозяева unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02ABC signalХозяева matches under 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk64% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ничья probability alone is 32%.

Match questions

Насьонал АМ vs ABC FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа хозяев · Projected score 1–1 · 36% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Насьонал АМ выигрыш 36%,Ничья 32%,ABC выигрыш 32%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.84 · ТБ 2.5 28% · Current selection Меньше