MatchFormula Find a match
Menu
UTC+8
Time zoneAsia/Shanghai
English
BRA Brazil Serie D · Final ·

Nacional AM vs ABC

Prediction review

Home form
Final score1–2Forecast 1–1
Away form
Home win36%
Draw32%
Away win32%
Full model forecastHome winTier A · 36% selection probability
Prediction Lost
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win36% selection probability
Projected score1–1Nacional AMABC
Expected goals1.84Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Under72% for the selected side
Both teams scoreNo63% for the selected side
Expected corners10.1Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
36% / 32% / 32%Match resultHome win36%2.78
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (32%)Double chance1268%1.47
Over 28% · Under 72%Goals 2.5Under72%1.39
Yes 37% · No 63%Both teams scoreNo63%1.59
1.84 total expected goalsCorrect score1–1
10.1 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.1%Largest probability gapABC winDifference-0.4 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Nacional AM win36%2.782.5035.7%+0.3 pp
Draw32%3.132.8031.9%+0.1 pp
ABC win32%3.132.7532.4%-0.4 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Nacional AM0.98

Home share of expected goals 53.3%

Total expected goals1.84Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Over 28% · Under 72%

ABC0.86

Away share of expected goals 46.7%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitYes 37% · No 63%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Nacional AM

1.20pts / match
Played5Wins1Drawn3Losses1Points6

SignalHome unbeaten 4/5

Away-context · form sequence

ABC

1.60pts / match
Played5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Points8

SignalHome matches under 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
36%
Win probability excluding draw
32%
6
Points from supplied form
8
0.98
Expected goals
0.86
Nacional AMABC
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Nacional AM signalHome unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02ABC signalHome matches under 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk64% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 32%.

Match questions

Nacional AM vs ABC FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 1–1 · 36% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Nacional AM win 36%,Draw 32%,ABC win 32%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.84 · Over 2.5 28% · Current selection Under