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BRA Brazília - Serie D · Final ·

Nacional AM vs ABC

Prediction review

Hazai form
Final score1–2Előrejelzés 1–1
Vendég form
Hazai győzelem36%
Döntetlen32%
Vendég győzelem32%
Full model forecastHazai győzelemTier A · 36% selection probability
Prediction Vesztett
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHazai győzelem36% selection probability
Projected score1–1Nacional AMABC
Expected goals1.84Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Alatt72% for the selected side
Mindkét csapat szerez góltNem63% for the selected side
Expected corners10.1Felett 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketVálasztásValószínűségValós odds
36% / 32% / 32%Mérkőzés eredményeHazai győzelem36%2.78
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (32%)Dupla esély1268%1.47
Felett 28% · Alatt 72%Goals 2.5Alatt72%1.39
Igen 37% · Nem 63%Mindkét csapat szerez góltNem63%1.59
1.84 total expected goalsPontos eredmény1–1
10.1 expected match cornersSzögletekFelett 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.1%Largest probability gapABC winDifference-0.4 pp
OutcomeElőrejelzésValós oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Nacional AM win36%2.782.5035.7%+0.3 pp
Döntetlen32%3.132.8031.9%+0.1 pp
ABC win32%3.132.7532.4%-0.4 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Nacional AM0.98

Hazai share of expected goals 53.3%

Total expected goals1.84Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Felett 28% · Alatt 72%

ABC0.86

Vendég share of expected goals 46.7%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitIgen 37% · Nem 63%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hazai-context · form sequence

Nacional AM

1.20pts / match
Lejátszott5Wins1Drawn3Losses1Pontok6

SignalHazai unbeaten 4/5

Vendég-context · form sequence

ABC

1.60pts / match
Lejátszott5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Pontok8

SignalHazai matches under 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
36%
Nyert probability excluding draw
32%
6
Points from supplied form
8
0.98
Expected goals
0.86
Nacional AMABC
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Nacional AM signalHazai unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02ABC signalHazai matches under 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk64% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Döntetlen probability alone is 32%.

Match questions

Nacional AM vs ABC FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hazai győzelem · Projected score 1–1 · 36% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Nacional AM nyer 36%,Döntetlen 32%,ABC nyer 32%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.84 · 2.5 felett 28% · Current selection Alatt